AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI has the edge over SOHU overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.

SOHU

Sohu.com Limited

55
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation54/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

SOHU has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SOHU Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Strong

SOHU's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

SOHU PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2.4x4.7x7.1x9.5x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2.4x4.7x7.1x9.5x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap0.7x$6.23-48%
Current1.4x$11.97—
Fair1.5x$13.31+11%
Expensive3.7x$31.99+167%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SOHU's PE is in its fair range at 1.4x.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SOHU Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for SOHU to show an outlook.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SOHU, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SOHU Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+32%$15.79
Downside-22%$9.34

Calculated from the latest close: $11.97 on Nov 12.

SOHU trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

SOHU Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-0.74Q4 2023: $-0.90Q1 2024: $-1.13Q2 2024: $-1.67Q3 2024: $-2.81Q4 2024: $-3.13Q1 2025: $3.70Q2 2025: $4.16Q3 2025: $5.00Q4 2025: $14.10Q1 2026: $7.86Q2 2026: $8.60
Q3 2023: $-0.74Q4 2023: $-0.90Q1 2024: $-1.13Q2 2024: $-1.67Q3 2024: $-2.81Q4 2024: $-3.13Q1 2025: $3.70Q2 2025: $4.16Q3 2025: $5.00Q4 2025: $14.10Q1 2026: $7.86Q2 2026: $8.60
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$8.60+107%
Q1 2026$7.86+112%
Q4 2025$14.10+$17.23
Q3 2025$5.00+$7.81
Q2 2025$4.16+$5.83
Q1 2025$3.70+$4.83
Q4 2024-$3.13-$2.23
Q3 2024-$2.81-$2.07

SOHU has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over SOHU on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SOHU Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $145MQ4 2023: $141MQ1 2024: $139MQ2 2024: $172MQ3 2024: $152MQ4 2024: $135MQ1 2025: $136MQ2 2025: $127MQ3 2025: $180MQ4 2025: $142MQ1 2026: $142MQ2 2026: $136M
Q3 2023: $145MQ4 2023: $141MQ1 2024: $139MQ2 2024: $172MQ3 2024: $152MQ4 2024: $135MQ1 2025: $136MQ2 2025: $127MQ3 2025: $180MQ4 2025: $142MQ1 2026: $142MQ2 2026: $136M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$135.8M+7.1%
Q1 2026$141.7M+4.5%
Q4 2025$142.3M+5.6%
Q3 2025$180.4M+19%
Q2 2025$126.7M-26%
Q1 2025$135.6M-2.7%
Q4 2024$134.7M-4.7%
Q3 2024$152M+4.5%

SOHU's revenue is recovering but still below its 2019 peak: $136M last quarter, up 7.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

SOHU Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0$0
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0$0
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025$0$0
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024$0$0
Q3 2024$0$0

SOHU's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $0 over the past year, against $0 the year before.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

SOHU Total Shares

Q3 2023: 34MQ4 2023: 34MQ1 2024: 33MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 30MQ2 2025: 29MQ3 2025: 27MQ4 2025: 27MQ1 2026: 26MQ2 2026: 25M
Q3 2023: 34MQ4 2023: 34MQ1 2024: 33MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 30MQ2 2025: 29MQ3 2025: 27MQ4 2025: 27MQ1 2026: 26MQ2 2026: 25M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.3%-607K shares
1 year-12%-3.4M shares
3 years-25%-8.6M shares
5 years-36%-14.1M shares
Available history-35%-13.8M shares

SOHU has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SOHU Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -7.0xQ4 2023: -13.2xQ1 2024: -17.4x
Q3 2023: -7.0xQ4 2023: -13.2xQ1 2024: -17.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2024-17.4xNet Cash
Q4 2023-13.2xNet Cash
Q3 2023-7.0xNet Cash
Q2 2023-11.3xNet Cash
Q1 2023-8.1xNet Cash
Q4 2022-7.4xNet Cash
Q3 2022-6.5xNet Cash
Q2 2022-3.3xNet Cash

SOHU has more cash than debt.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

SOHU Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.2Neutral
Stochastic28.9Neutral

SOHU's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 29 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SOHU PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSOHUSector medianRelative
PE1.4x28x95% below
PE %463511 pts above

SOHU is trading at 1.4x earnings, a 95% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has the edge over SOHU on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SOHU Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.86.5% below
20 week MA$13.29.3% below
50 week MA$14.517% below
100 week MA$13.914% below
200 week MA$13.18.3% below

SOHU is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 8.3% below its 200-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over SOHU on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SOHU Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.8$16.3+51%
2021$16.3$16.1-1.2%
2022$16.1$13.5-16%
2023$13.5$9.93-26%
2024$9.93$13.7+37%
2025$13.7$15.9+16%
2026 YTD$15.9$12.0-25%

SOHU has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 25% so far in 2026.

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