AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
SNOW
Snowflake Inc.
SNOW has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
SNOW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong | |
| Unavailable |
SNOW's revenue and cash flow are currently strong, but its profitability is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
SNOW PE Valuation
SNOW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
SNOW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Broad | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SNOW, with profitability improving.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI has the edge over SNOW on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SNOW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.74 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$3.18 | +$0.96 |
| Q2 2026 | -$3.52 | +$0.68 |
| Q1 2026 | -$3.95 | -$0.09 |
| Q4 2025 | -$4.03 | -$0.64 |
| Q3 2025 | -$4.14 | -$1.08 |
| Q2 2025 | -$4.20 | -$1.40 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.86 | -$1.31 |
| Q4 2024 | -$3.39 | -$0.71 |
SNOW is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $3.18 per share over the past year, against $4.20 at its worst in early 2025.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over SNOW on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI has the edge over SNOW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SNOW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | +35% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.4B | +33% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.3B | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.2B | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.1B | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $1B | +26% |
| Q1 2025 | $986.8M | +27% |
| Q4 2024 | $942.1M | +28% |
SNOW's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $1.5B last quarter, up 35% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -17% | +13 points |
| Q2 2026 | -23% | +20 points |
| Q1 2026 | -25% | +14 points |
| Q4 2025 | -27% | +12 points |
| Q3 2025 | -30% | +11 points |
| Q2 2025 | -43% | -0.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | -39% | -3.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | -39% | -3.3 points |
SNOW's operating margin was −17% last quarter, up 13 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
SNOW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $83.8M | +44% |
| Q2 2026 | $232.8M | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $765.1M | +82% |
| Q4 2025 | $113.6M | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $58.2M | -10% |
| Q2 2025 | $183.4M | -46% |
| Q1 2025 | $421.4M | +27% |
| Q4 2024 | $88.3M | -21% |
SNOW has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
SNOW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.1% | +3.9M shares |
| 1 year | +4.2% | +14M shares |
| 3 years | +6.7% | +21.9M shares |
| 5 years | +17% | +51.5M shares |
| Available history | +47% | +111M shares |
SNOW has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $300M |
| Q1 2026 | $150M |
| Q4 2025 | $232.9M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $490.6M |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $1B |
SNOW spent $683M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 55% from the year before.
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
SNOW Net Leverage
SNOW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
SNOW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 52.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.2 | Neutral |
SNOW's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 25 (neutral).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SNOW PE vs Technology Sector
SNOW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.
SNOW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $319.9 | 6.6% below |
| 20 week MA | $311.5 | 4.1% below |
| 50 week MA | $238.6 | 25% above |
| 100 week MA | $218.8 | 37% above |
| 200 week MA | $187.5 | 59% above |
SNOW has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over SNOW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
SNOW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $240.0 | $323.0 | +35% |
| 2021 | $323.0 | $349.2 | +8.1% |
| 2022 | $349.2 | $138.5 | -60% |
| 2023 | $138.5 | $199.0 | +44% |
| 2024 | $199.0 | $158.7 | -20% |
| 2025 | $158.7 | $223.9 | +41% |
| 2026 YTD | $223.9 | $298.7 | +33% |
SNOW has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 33% so far in 2026.