AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve, though they disagree widely on how much.

SKYA

SkyAI, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score SKYA yet.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SKYA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Weak
Under pressure
Unavailable

SKYA's profitability and cash flow are currently under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue and balance sheet.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

SKYA PE Valuation

SKYA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SKYA Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for SKYA to show an outlook.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and SKYA's risk to reward.

SKYA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $2.45 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and SKYA's risk to reward.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98โ€”
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

SKYA Earnings Per Share

Q1 2026: $-5.67Q2 2026: $-9.57Q3 2026: $-4.06
Q1 2026: $-5.67Q2 2026: $-9.57Q3 2026: $-4.06

SKYA and AAOI do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over SKYA in the latest year-over-year revenue comparison.

SKYA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: $222,722Q3 2025: $83,622Q4 2025: โˆ’$102,224Q1 2026: $192,780Q2 2026: $0Q3 2026: $0
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: $222,722Q3 2025: $83,622Q4 2025: โˆ’$102,224Q1 2026: $192,780Q2 2026: $0Q3 2026: $0

AAOI has the edge over SKYA in the latest year-over-year revenue comparison.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: โˆ’$34MQ2 2024: โˆ’$5MQ3 2024: โˆ’$21MQ4 2024: โˆ’$53MQ1 2025: โˆ’$79MQ2 2025: โˆ’$91MQ3 2025: โˆ’$79MQ4 2025: โˆ’$105MQ1 2026: โˆ’$144MQ2 2026: โˆ’$265MQ3 2026: โˆ’$370M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: โˆ’$34MQ2 2024: โˆ’$5MQ3 2024: โˆ’$21MQ4 2024: โˆ’$53MQ1 2025: โˆ’$79MQ2 2025: โˆ’$91MQ3 2025: โˆ’$79MQ4 2025: โˆ’$105MQ1 2026: โˆ’$144MQ2 2026: โˆ’$265MQ3 2026: โˆ’$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$883M over the past year, against โˆ’$302M the year before.

SKYA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: โˆ’$2MQ2 2024: โˆ’$2MQ3 2024: โˆ’$2MQ4 2024: โˆ’$2MQ1 2025: โˆ’$3MQ2 2025: โˆ’$4MQ3 2025: โˆ’$9MQ4 2025: โˆ’$2MQ1 2026: โˆ’$3MQ2 2026: โˆ’$3MQ3 2026: โˆ’$3M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: โˆ’$2MQ2 2024: โˆ’$2MQ3 2024: โˆ’$2MQ4 2024: โˆ’$2MQ1 2025: โˆ’$3MQ2 2025: โˆ’$4MQ3 2025: โˆ’$9MQ4 2025: โˆ’$2MQ1 2026: โˆ’$3MQ2 2026: โˆ’$3MQ3 2026: โˆ’$3M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.5M+$5.4M
Q2 2026-$3M+$779.5K
Q1 2026-$2.7M-$136.2K
Q4 2025-$1.6M+$183.9K
Q3 2025-$8.8M-$7.2M
Q2 2025-$3.8M-$2.1M
Q1 2025-$2.5M-$651.7K
Q3 2024-$1.6M+$370.5K

SKYA has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has the edge over SKYA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SKYA Total Shares

Q2 2025: 995,212Q3 2025: 24MQ4 2025: 49MQ1 2026: 73MQ2 2026: 72MQ3 2026: 72M
Q2 2025: 995,212Q3 2025: 24MQ4 2025: 49MQ1 2026: 73MQ2 2026: 72MQ3 2026: 72M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-331K shares
1 year+195%+47.4M shares

SKYA has 72M diluted shares, up 195% from a year ago, despite $3M in buybacks over the past year.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SKYA Net Leverage

SKYA's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

SKYA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.8Neutral
Stochastic89.9Overbought

SKYA's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 90 (overbought).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SKYA PE vs Technology Sector

SKYA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

SKYA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.430.8% above
20 week MA$1.7540% above
50 week MA$1.8135% above
100 week MA$45.795% below
200 week MA$1,865.9100% below

SKYA has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over SKYA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SKYA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2022$9,834.0$7,788.0-21%
2023$7,788.0$2,745.0-65%
2024$2,745.0$591.0-78%
2025$591.0$2.22-100%
2026 YTD$2.22$2.45+10%

SKYA has finished every year since 2022 lower, and it's up 10% so far in 2026.

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