AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
SATL
Satellogic Inc.
SATL has a slight edge over AAOI overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
SATL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
SATL's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
SATL PE Valuation
SATL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 93x next year's earnings.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
SATL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect SATL to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.
SATL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.04 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.59 | +$0.28 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.75 | +$0.55 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.68 | +$0.76 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.18 | +$1.10 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.87 | +$0.11 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.30 | -$0.57 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.44 | -$0.58 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.28 | -$0.43 |
SATL has the edge over AAOI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over SATL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI has the edge over SATL on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SATL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $16M | +342% |
| Q2 2026 | $15.9M | +259% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.1M | +80% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.2M | +107% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.6M | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.4M | +27% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.4M | +1.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $3M | -47% |
SATL's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $16M last quarter, up 342% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -14% | +208 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.7% | +143 points |
| Q1 2026 | -104% | +177 points |
| Q4 2025 | -114% | +265 points |
| Q3 2025 | -222% | +157 points |
| Q2 2025 | -142% | +278 points |
| Q1 2025 | -281% | +158 points |
| Q4 2024 | -380% | -117 points |
SATL's operating margin was −14% last quarter, up 208 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
SATL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$16.6M | -$6.9M |
| Q2 2026 | -$14.3M | -$9.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$5.4M | +$1.2M |
| Q4 2025 | -$12.8M | -$8.5M |
| Q3 2025 | -$9.7M | -$344K |
| Q2 2025 | -$5.1M | +$10.1M |
| Q1 2025 | -$6.6M | +$5.4M |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.3M | +$11.7M |
SATL has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
SATL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +19% | +28.7M shares |
| 1 year | +37% | +48.3M shares |
| 3 years | +100% | +89.5M shares |
| 5 years | +201% | +120M shares |
| Available history | +160% | +110M shares |
SATL has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | $103,000 |
| Q2 2024 | $111,000 |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | $186,000 |
| Q3 2023 | $53,000 |
| Q2 2023 | $109,500 |
| Q1 2023 | $109,500 |
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
SATL Net Leverage
SATL's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
SATL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 15.0 | Oversold |
SATL's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SATL PE vs Technology Sector
SATL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.
SATL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $4.38 | 20% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.62 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.88 | 28% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.09 | 14% below |
| 200 week MA | $2.88 | 22% above |
SATL has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 22% above its 200-week average.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +891% in 2023 to −65% in 2022. It's up 42% so far in 2026.
SATL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $9.90 | $9.95 | +0.5% |
| 2022 | $9.95 | $3.05 | -69% |
| 2023 | $3.05 | $1.75 | -43% |
| 2024 | $1.75 | $3.68 | +110% |
| 2025 | $3.68 | $2.01 | -45% |
| 2026 YTD | $2.01 | $3.52 | +75% |
SATL has the edge over AAOI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.