AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI has the edge over RXT overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

RXT

Rackspace Technology, Inc.

48
Fundamentals54/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potentialUnknown
Risk potentialUnknown

RXT trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

RXT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Under pressure
Weak

RXT's revenue and profitability are currently stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

RXT PE Valuation

RXT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

AAOI has the edge over RXT on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

RXT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Stable
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect RXT's losses to grow, with revenue holding steady.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and RXT's risk to reward.

RXT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $3.01 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and RXT's risk to reward.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

RXT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.89Q1 2024: $-3.93Q2 2024: $-3.69Q3 2024: $-3.46Q4 2024: $-3.82Q1 2025: $-1.22Q2 2025: $-1.56Q3 2025: $-1.02Q4 2025: $-0.95Q1 2026: $-0.61Q2 2026: $-0.65Q3 2026: $-0.58
Q4 2023: $-3.89Q1 2024: $-3.93Q2 2024: $-3.69Q3 2024: $-3.46Q4 2024: $-3.82Q1 2025: $-1.22Q2 2025: $-1.56Q3 2025: $-1.02Q4 2025: $-0.95Q1 2026: $-0.61Q2 2026: $-0.65Q3 2026: $-0.58
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.58+$0.44
Q2 2026-$0.65+$0.91
Q1 2026-$0.61+$0.61
Q4 2025-$0.95+$2.87
Q3 2025-$1.02+$2.44
Q2 2025-$1.56+$2.13
Q1 2025-$1.22+$2.71
Q4 2024-$3.82+$0.07

RXT has the edge over AAOI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over RXT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RXT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $720MQ1 2024: $691MQ2 2024: $685MQ3 2024: $676MQ4 2024: $686MQ1 2025: $665MQ2 2025: $666MQ3 2025: $671MQ4 2025: $683MQ1 2026: $678MQ2 2026: $670MQ3 2026: $609M
Q4 2023: $720MQ1 2024: $691MQ2 2024: $685MQ3 2024: $676MQ4 2024: $686MQ1 2025: $665MQ2 2025: $666MQ3 2025: $671MQ4 2025: $683MQ1 2026: $678MQ2 2026: $670MQ3 2026: $609M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$609.1M-9.3%
Q2 2026$670.1M+0.6%
Q1 2026$678.1M+1.9%
Q4 2025$682.8M-0.4%
Q3 2025$671.2M-0.7%
Q2 2025$666.3M-2.7%
Q1 2025$665.4M-3.7%
Q4 2024$685.6M-4.7%

RXT's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $609M last quarter, down 9.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

RXT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $38MQ1 2024: −$118MQ2 2024: −$15MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: −$12MQ3 2025: $43MQ4 2025: $56MQ1 2026: −$9MQ2 2026: −$48MQ3 2026: $1M
Q4 2023: $38MQ1 2024: −$118MQ2 2024: −$15MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: −$12MQ3 2025: $43MQ4 2025: $56MQ1 2026: −$9MQ2 2026: −$48MQ3 2026: $1M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2M-97%
Q2 2026-$48.3M-$35.9M
Q1 2026-$9.4M-319%
Q4 2025$56M+63%
Q3 2025$42.7M+56%
Q2 2025-$12.4M+$2.1M
Q1 2025$4.3M+$122.7M
Q4 2024$34.4M-10%

RXT has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

RXT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 215MQ1 2024: 220MQ2 2024: 230MQ3 2024: 226MQ4 2024: 225MQ1 2025: 232MQ2 2025: 238MQ3 2025: 240MQ4 2025: 239MQ1 2026: 250MQ2 2026: 250MQ3 2026: 256M
Q4 2023: 215MQ1 2024: 220MQ2 2024: 230MQ3 2024: 226MQ4 2024: 225MQ1 2025: 232MQ2 2025: 238MQ3 2025: 240MQ4 2025: 239MQ1 2026: 250MQ2 2026: 250MQ3 2026: 256M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.5%+6.2M shares
1 year+6.6%+15.9M shares
3 years+19%+40.3M shares
5 years+22%+47M shares
Available history+1463%+240M shares

RXT has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

RXT Net Leverage

Q2 2025: 92.0xQ3 2025: 15.6xQ4 2025: 13.4xQ1 2026: 14.1xQ2 2026: 19.1xQ3 2026: 21.3x
Q2 2025: 92.0xQ3 2025: 15.6xQ4 2025: 13.4xQ1 2026: 14.1xQ2 2026: 19.1xQ3 2026: 21.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202621.3xHigh
Q2 202619.1xHigh
Q1 202614.1xHigh
Q4 202513.4xHigh
Q3 202515.6xHigh
Q2 202592.0xHigh
Q1 20205.6xHigh
Q4 20195.5xHigh

RXT's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 16 years a year ago.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

RXT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.4Neutral
Stochastic10.7Oversold

RXT's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RXT PE vs Technology Sector

RXT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

RXT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.236.8% below
20 week MA$3.7420% below
50 week MA$2.913.4% above
100 week MA$2.2832% above
200 week MA$2.1838% above

RXT has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +891% in 2023 to −65% in 2022. It's up 42% so far in 2026.

RXT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$15.4$19.9+29%
2021$19.9$14.2-29%
2022$14.2$2.64-81%
2023$2.64$2.00-24%
2024$2.00$2.21+10%
2025$2.21$0.98-56%
2026 YTD$0.98$3.01+207%

RXT has the edge over AAOI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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