AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI has the edge over RUM overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
RUM
Rumble Inc.
RUM has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
RUM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RUM's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
RUM PE Valuation
RUM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
AAOI has the edge over RUM on the outlook, with more favorable earnings expectations.
RUM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect RUM's losses to grow, with revenue growing.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.
RUM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.72 | +$0.64 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.59 | +$0.86 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.43 | +$1.03 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.32 | +$1.34 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.36 | -$0.72 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.45 | -$0.82 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.46 | -$0.81 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | -$1.08 |
RUM lost $0.72 per share over the past year, a smaller loss than the year before, but its loss has widened in each of the last three quarters.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over RUM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI has the edge over RUM on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RUM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $96.6M | +290% |
| Q2 2026 | $40.4M | +61% |
| Q1 2026 | $25.5M | +7.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $27.1M | -10% |
| Q3 2025 | $24.8M | -1.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.1M | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $23.7M | +34% |
| Q4 2024 | $30.2M | +48% |
RUM's revenue is growing: $97M last quarter, up 290% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -88% | +26 points |
| Q2 2026 | -175% | -69 points |
| Q1 2026 | -154% | -0.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | -131% | -51 points |
| Q3 2025 | -114% | +17 points |
| Q2 2025 | -106% | +67 points |
| Q1 2025 | -153% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -80% | +102 points |
RUM's operating margin was −88% last quarter, up 26 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
RUM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$80M | -$68M |
| Q2 2026 | -$91.6M | -$75.5M |
| Q1 2026 | -$17.7M | -$3.1M |
| Q4 2025 | -$31.7M | -$19.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$12M | +$7.9M |
| Q2 2025 | -$16.1M | +$7M |
| Q1 2025 | -$14.6M | +$19.7M |
| Q4 2024 | -$12.4M | +$24.3M |
RUM has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has the edge over RUM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
RUM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +50% | +141M shares |
| 1 year | +63% | +164M shares |
| 3 years | +110% | +223M shares |
RUM has 425M diluted shares, up 63% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $525M |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q3 2020 | — |
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
RUM Net Leverage
RUM's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
RUM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 44.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.9 | Oversold |
RUM's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RUM PE vs Technology Sector
RUM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has the edge over RUM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RUM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $6.27 | 8.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $6.83 | 16% below |
| 50 week MA | $6.60 | 13% below |
| 100 week MA | $7.70 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $7.31 | 22% below |
RUM is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 22% below its 200-week average.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over RUM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RUM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $9.82 | $11.7 | +19% |
| 2022 | $11.7 | $6.38 | -45% |
| 2023 | $6.38 | $4.49 | -30% |
| 2024 | $4.49 | $15.2 | +239% |
| 2025 | $15.2 | $6.67 | -56% |
| 2026 YTD | $6.67 | $5.71 | -14% |
RUM's yearly returns have swung widely, from +239% in 2024 to −56% in 2025. It's down 14% so far in 2026.