AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI has the edge over RPAY overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.
RPAY
Repay Holdings Corporation
RPAY has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
RPAY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure |
RPAY's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
RPAY PE Valuation
RPAY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
AAOI has the edge over RPAY on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
RPAY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for RPAY, but weaker profitability.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
RPAY has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 112% for AAOI versus RPAY down 80%.
RPAY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.93 | +673% |
| Q4 2022 | $0.12 | +$0.72 |
| Q3 2022 | $0.00 | +$0.56 |
| Q2 2022 | -$0.12 | +$0.53 |
| Q1 2022 | -$0.27 | +$0.53 |
| Q4 2021 | -$0.60 | +$0.08 |
| Q3 2021 | -$0.56 | +$0.20 |
| Q2 2021 | -$0.65 | +$0.20 |
| Q1 2021 | -$0.80 | -$0.12 |
RPAY has returned to profit: it earned $0.12 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over RPAY on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI's operating margin was −0.5% last quarter, up 15 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
RPAY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $153.4M | +97% |
| Q2 2026 | $100.7M | +33% |
| Q1 2026 | $80.8M | +4.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $78.6M | +0.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7M | -1.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $75.6M | +1% |
| Q1 2025 | $77.3M | -4.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $78.3M | +3% |
RPAY's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $153M last quarter, up 97% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1% | +3.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | -3.2% | +136 points |
| Q1 2026 | 0% | +4.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | -182% | -181 points |
| Q3 2025 | -3.9% | -3 points |
| Q2 2025 | -139% | -134 points |
| Q1 2025 | -4.7% | -1.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | -1.5% | +102 points |
RPAY has the edge over AAOI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
RPAY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $9.2M | -71% |
| Q2 2026 | $38.1M | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.7M | +609% |
| Q4 2025 | $23.2M | -32% |
| Q3 2025 | $32.1M | -46% |
| Q2 2025 | $33.1M | +8.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.4M | -90% |
| Q4 2024 | $34M | -3.3% |
RPAY has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
RPAY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.8% | -3.1M shares |
| 1 year | +25% | +21.8M shares |
RPAY has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2023 | $381,000 |
| Q3 2023 | $134,000 |
| Q2 2023 | $171,000 |
| Q1 2023 | $1.2M |
| Q4 2022 | $675,739 |
| Q3 2022 | $141,414 |
| Q2 2022 | $141,414 |
| Q1 2022 | $1.7M |
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
RPAY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | 3.6x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q3 2024 | 17.3x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 18.6x | High |
| Q1 2024 | 34.9x | High |
| Q3 2023 | 5.9x | High |
| Q2 2023 | 6.5x | High |
| Q1 2023 | 7.2x | High |
RPAY's net debt is about 3.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
RPAY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 52.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 71.5 | Neutral |
RPAY's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 71 (neutral).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RPAY PE vs Technology Sector
RPAY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.
RPAY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $4.12 | 0.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $3.99 | 2.8% above |
| 50 week MA | $3.63 | 13% above |
| 100 week MA | $4.52 | 9.3% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.41 | 36% below |
RPAY has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over RPAY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RPAY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $14.6 | $27.7 | +90% |
| 2021 | $27.7 | $18.4 | -34% |
| 2022 | $18.4 | $7.62 | -59% |
| 2023 | $7.62 | $8.54 | +12% |
| 2024 | $8.54 | $7.74 | -9.4% |
| 2025 | $7.74 | $3.71 | -52% |
| 2026 YTD | $3.71 | $4.10 | +11% |
RPAY has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's up 11% so far in 2026.