AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
ROG
Rogers Corporation
ROG has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
ROG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
ROG's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
ROG PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 28x | $130 | — |
| Cheap | 29x | $71.92 | -45% |
| Fair | 45x | $112 | -14% |
| Current | 53x | $130 | — |
| Expensive | 74x | $182 | +40% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ROG's PE is in its fair range at 53x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 28x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ROG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ROG, with profitability improving.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.
ROG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.65 | +88% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.47 | +$6.11 |
| Q2 2026 | $1.69 | +$5.23 |
| Q1 2026 | -$3.07 | -441% |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.40 | -343% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.64 | -236% |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.54 | -213% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.90 | -75% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.40 | -54% |
ROG has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over ROG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI's operating margin was −0.5% last quarter, up 15 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
ROG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $236.1M | +9.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $216.8M | +6.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $200.5M | +5.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $201.5M | +4.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $216M | +2.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $202.8M | -5.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $190.5M | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $192.2M | -6.1% |
ROG's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $236M last quarter, up 9.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 13% | +5.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 9.2% | +43 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.3% | +5.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.5% | +10 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.3% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | -33% | -39 points |
| Q1 2025 | -0.2% | -5.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.6% | -22 points |
ROG has the edge over AAOI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
ROG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $35.4M | +67% |
| Q2 2026 | $18.3M | +227% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1M | -48% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.2M | +131% |
| Q3 2025 | $21.2M | -16% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.6M | -36% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.1M | -89% |
| Q4 2024 | $18.3M | -63% |
ROG has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
ROG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.6% | -100K shares |
| 1 year | -1.1% | -200K shares |
| 3 years | -4.2% | -785K shares |
| 5 years | -5.2% | -974K shares |
| Available history | -4.3% | -813K shares |
ROG has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $9.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $14.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $10M |
| Q2 2025 | $28.1M |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $11.9M |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | $7.6M |
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
ROG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -9.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -21.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -2.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2024 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
ROG has more cash than debt.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
ROG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 49.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 26.8 | Neutral |
ROG's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ROG PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | ROG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 53x | 28x | 89% above |
| PE % | 63 | 35 | 28 pts above |
ROG is trading at 53x earnings, a 89% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.
ROG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $136.1 | 4.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $134.0 | 3% below |
| 50 week MA | $123.0 | 5.6% above |
| 100 week MA | $100.3 | 30% above |
| 200 week MA | $114.9 | 13% above |
ROG has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over ROG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
ROG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $125.4 | $151.3 | +21% |
| 2021 | $151.3 | $272.7 | +80% |
| 2022 | $272.7 | $113.5 | -58% |
| 2023 | $113.5 | $132.1 | +16% |
| 2024 | $132.1 | $104.5 | -21% |
| 2025 | $104.5 | $94.3 | -9.8% |
| 2026 YTD | $94.3 | $129.9 | +38% |
ROG is up 38% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in three of the previous six years.