AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

RNG

RingCentral, Inc.

69
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation61/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

RNG has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

RNG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Stable

RNG's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

RNG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE68x137x205x274x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE68x137x205x274x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$75.89—
Forward14x$75.89—
Cheap43x$328+332%
Fair65x$491+547%
Expensive182x$1,375+1712%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RNG's PE is in its cheap range at 10x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 14x.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RNG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for RNG, with profitability improving.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI trails RNG on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RNG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+53%$116.12
Downside-22%$59.35

Calculated from the latest close: $75.89 on Nov 12.

RNG has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAOI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

RNG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.74Q1 2024: $-1.48Q2 2024: $-1.41Q3 2024: $-1.05Q4 2024: $-0.63Q1 2025: $-0.43Q2 2025: $-0.13Q3 2025: $0.15Q4 2025: $0.48Q1 2026: $0.94Q2 2026: $1.25Q3 2026: $7.56Forward: $5.41
Q4 2023: $-1.74Q1 2024: $-1.48Q2 2024: $-1.41Q3 2024: $-1.05Q4 2024: $-0.63Q1 2025: $-0.43Q2 2025: $-0.13Q3 2025: $0.15Q4 2025: $0.48Q1 2026: $0.94Q2 2026: $1.25Q3 2026: $7.56Forward: $5.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.41-28%
Q3 2026$7.56+4940%
Q2 2026$1.25+$1.38
Q1 2026$0.94+$1.37
Q4 2025$0.48+$1.11
Q3 2025$0.15+$1.20
Q2 2025-$0.13+$1.28
Q1 2025-$0.43+$1.05
Q4 2024-$0.63+$1.11

RNG has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over RNG on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

RNG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $571MQ1 2024: $584MQ2 2024: $593MQ3 2024: $609MQ4 2024: $615MQ1 2025: $612MQ2 2025: $620MQ3 2025: $639MQ4 2025: $644MQ1 2026: $644MQ2 2026: $657MQ3 2026: $676M
Q4 2023: $571MQ1 2024: $584MQ2 2024: $593MQ3 2024: $609MQ4 2024: $615MQ1 2025: $612MQ2 2025: $620MQ3 2025: $639MQ4 2025: $644MQ1 2026: $644MQ2 2026: $657MQ3 2026: $676M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$676M+5.9%
Q2 2026$657M+5.9%
Q1 2026$644.2M+5.3%
Q4 2025$644M+4.8%
Q3 2025$638.7M+4.9%
Q2 2025$620.4M+4.6%
Q1 2025$612.1M+4.8%
Q4 2024$614.5M+7.6%

RNG's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $676M last quarter, up 5.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

RNG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $108MQ1 2024: $90MQ2 2024: $122MQ3 2024: $120MQ4 2024: $127MQ1 2025: $144MQ2 2025: $158MQ3 2025: $144MQ4 2025: $141MQ1 2026: $158MQ2 2026: $196MQ3 2026: $173M
Q4 2023: $108MQ1 2024: $90MQ2 2024: $122MQ3 2024: $120MQ4 2024: $127MQ1 2025: $144MQ2 2025: $158MQ3 2025: $144MQ4 2025: $141MQ1 2026: $158MQ2 2026: $196MQ3 2026: $173M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$172.9M+20%
Q2 2026$195.8M+24%
Q1 2026$157.5M+9.3%
Q4 2025$141M+11%
Q3 2025$143.8M+20%
Q2 2025$158.5M+30%
Q1 2025$144.1M+60%
Q4 2024$126.5M+17%

RNG has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

RNG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 95MQ1 2024: 93MQ2 2024: 93MQ3 2024: 92MQ4 2024: 92MQ1 2025: 91MQ2 2025: 92MQ3 2025: 92MQ4 2025: 91MQ1 2026: 87MQ2 2026: 87MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 95MQ1 2024: 93MQ2 2024: 93MQ3 2024: 92MQ4 2024: 92MQ1 2025: 91MQ2 2025: 92MQ3 2025: 92MQ4 2025: 91MQ1 2026: 87MQ2 2026: 87MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.2%+1.1M shares
1 year-4.7%-4.3M shares
3 years-7.3%-6.9M shares
5 years-4.5%-4.1M shares
Available history+5.5%+4.6M shares

RNG has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

RNG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 37.6xQ1 2024: 17.2xQ2 2024: 11.5xQ3 2024: 7.8xQ4 2024: 5.7xQ1 2025: 4.9xQ2 2025: 3.8xQ3 2025: 3.5xQ4 2025: 3.3xQ1 2026: 2.8xQ2 2026: 2.5xQ3 2026: 2.1x
Q4 2023: 37.6xQ1 2024: 17.2xQ2 2024: 11.5xQ3 2024: 7.8xQ4 2024: 5.7xQ1 2025: 4.9xQ2 2025: 3.8xQ3 2025: 3.5xQ4 2025: 3.3xQ1 2026: 2.8xQ2 2026: 2.5xQ3 2026: 2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.1xModerate
Q2 20262.5xModerate
Q1 20262.8xModerate
Q4 20253.3xElevated
Q3 20253.5xElevated
Q2 20253.8xElevated
Q1 20254.9xHigh
Q4 20245.7xHigh

RNG's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.5 years a year ago.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

RNG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.9Neutral
Stochastic47.8Neutral

RNG's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 48 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RNG PE vs Technology Sector

MetricRNGSector medianRelative
PE10x28x64% below
PE %23533 pts below

RNG is trading at 10x earnings, a 64% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

RNG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$77.72.4% below
20 week MA$66.414% above
50 week MA$47.959% above
100 week MA$38.498% above
200 week MA$35.6113% above

RNG has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +891% in 2023 to −65% in 2022. It's up 42% so far in 2026.

RNG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$169.0$398.5+136%
2021$398.5$192.5-52%
2022$192.5$33.7-83%
2023$33.7$34.0+0.9%
2024$34.0$36.1+6.4%
2025$36.1$29.6-18%
2026 YTD$29.6$75.9+157%

RNG has the edge over AAOI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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