AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI has the edge over RMNI overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

RMNI

Rimini Street, Inc.

46
Fundamentals35/ 100
Valuation10/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

RMNI has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

RMNI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Strong

RMNI's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

RMNI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x42x63x84x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x42x63x84x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.4x$0.82-85%
Fair10x$1.14-80%
Forward14x$5.59—
Expensive26x$2.85-49%
Current51x$5.59—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RMNI's PE is in its expensive range at 51x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RMNI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for RMNI, with profitability improving.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RMNI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RMNI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+43%$7.98
Downside-28%$4.05

Calculated from the latest close: $5.59 on Nov 12.

RMNI trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

RMNI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.29Q1 2024: $0.24Q2 2024: $0.18Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.40Q1 2025: $-0.37Q2 2025: $-0.04Q3 2025: $0.46Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.36Q2 2026: $0.07Q3 2026: $0.11Forward: $0.40
Q4 2023: $0.29Q1 2024: $0.24Q2 2024: $0.18Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.40Q1 2025: $-0.37Q2 2025: $-0.04Q3 2025: $0.46Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.36Q2 2026: $0.07Q3 2026: $0.11Forward: $0.40
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.40+264%
Q3 2026$0.11-76%
Q2 2026$0.07+$0.11
Q1 2026$0.36+$0.73
Q4 2025$0.39+$0.79
Q3 2025$0.46+$0.83
Q2 2025-$0.04-122%
Q1 2025-$0.37-254%
Q4 2024-$0.40-238%

RMNI has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over RMNI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RMNI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $112MQ1 2024: $107MQ2 2024: $103MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $114MQ1 2025: $104MQ2 2025: $104MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $110MQ1 2026: $105MQ2 2026: $111MQ3 2026: $112M
Q4 2023: $112MQ1 2024: $107MQ2 2024: $103MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $114MQ1 2025: $104MQ2 2025: $104MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $110MQ1 2026: $105MQ2 2026: $111MQ3 2026: $112M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.1M+8.3%
Q2 2026$111.1M+6.7%
Q1 2026$105.5M+1.2%
Q4 2025$109.8M-3.9%
Q3 2025$103.4M-1.2%
Q2 2025$104.1M+1%
Q1 2025$104.2M-2.4%
Q4 2024$114.2M+1.9%

RMNI's revenue grew through 2022 and has held roughly level since: $112M last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

RMNI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: −$38MQ1 2025: $33MQ2 2025: −$20MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: $19MQ1 2026: $24MQ2 2026: −$2MQ3 2026: −$18M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: −$38MQ1 2025: $33MQ2 2025: −$20MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: $19MQ1 2026: $24MQ2 2026: −$2MQ3 2026: −$18M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$18M-177%
Q2 2026-$2.4M+$17.2M
Q1 2026$23.9M-27%
Q4 2025$18.9M+$57.2M
Q3 2025$23.5M+$42.7M
Q2 2025-$19.5M-462%
Q1 2025$32.8M+231%
Q4 2024-$38.4M-$33.7M

RMNI has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

RMNI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 91MQ2 2024: 90MQ3 2024: 91MQ4 2024: 91MQ1 2025: 93MQ2 2025: 94MQ3 2025: 95MQ4 2025: 94MQ1 2026: 94MQ2 2026: 95MQ3 2026: 96M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 91MQ2 2024: 90MQ3 2024: 91MQ4 2024: 91MQ1 2025: 93MQ2 2025: 94MQ3 2025: 95MQ4 2025: 94MQ1 2026: 94MQ2 2026: 95MQ3 2026: 96M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.3%+1.3M shares
1 year+0.9%+821K shares
3 years+7.6%+6.8M shares
5 years+12%+9.9M shares
Available history+43%+28.8M shares

RMNI has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

RMNI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.0xQ1 2024: -1.5xQ2 2024: -2.2xQ2 2025: -1.2xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.8xQ1 2026: -1.3xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -1.7x
Q4 2023: -1.0xQ1 2024: -1.5xQ2 2024: -2.2xQ2 2025: -1.2xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.8xQ1 2026: -1.3xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q2 2024-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2024-1.5xNet Cash

RMNI has more cash than debt.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

RMNI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI65.6Neutral
Stochastic77.6Neutral

RMNI's weekly RSI is 66 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 78 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RMNI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricRMNISector medianRelative
PE51x28x82% above
PE %923557 pts above

RMNI is trading at 51x earnings, a 82% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

RMNI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.5523% above
20 week MA$4.7218% above
50 week MA$4.1136% above
100 week MA$3.9143% above
200 week MA$3.4960% above

RMNI has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over RMNI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RMNI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$3.95$4.60+16%
2021$4.60$5.86+27%
2022$5.86$3.88-34%
2023$3.88$3.27-16%
2024$3.27$2.70-17%
2025$2.70$3.94+46%
2026 YTD$3.94$5.59+42%

RMNI is up 42% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in three of the previous six years.

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