AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

RELY

Remitly Global, Inc.

81
Fundamentals90/ 100
Valuation64/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

RELY has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

RELY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

RELY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

RELY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE85x170x255x340x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE85x170x255x340x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current14x$22.79—
Cheap19x$30.73+35%
Forward23x$22.79—
Fair54x$89.46+293%
Expensive258x$425+1765%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RELY's PE is in its cheap range at 14x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 23x.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RELY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for RELY, with profitability improving.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI trails RELY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RELY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+68%$38.27
Downside-16%$19.03

Calculated from the latest close: $22.79 on Nov 12.

RELY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAOI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

RELY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.65Q1 2024: $-0.60Q2 2024: $-0.55Q3 2024: $-0.34Q4 2024: $-0.19Q1 2025: $-0.03Q2 2025: $0.06Q3 2025: $0.09Q4 2025: $0.31Q1 2026: $0.49Q2 2026: $1.39Q3 2026: $1.65Forward: $1.00
Q4 2023: $-0.65Q1 2024: $-0.60Q2 2024: $-0.55Q3 2024: $-0.34Q4 2024: $-0.19Q1 2025: $-0.03Q2 2025: $0.06Q3 2025: $0.09Q4 2025: $0.31Q1 2026: $0.49Q2 2026: $1.39Q3 2026: $1.65Forward: $1.00
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.00-39%
Q3 2026$1.65+1733%
Q2 2026$1.39+2217%
Q1 2026$0.49+$0.52
Q4 2025$0.31+$0.50
Q3 2025$0.09+$0.43
Q2 2025$0.06+$0.61
Q1 2025-$0.03+$0.57
Q4 2024-$0.19+$0.46

RELY has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over RELY on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

RELY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $265MQ1 2024: $269MQ2 2024: $306MQ3 2024: $337MQ4 2024: $352MQ1 2025: $362MQ2 2025: $412MQ3 2025: $419MQ4 2025: $442MQ1 2026: $453MQ2 2026: $495MQ3 2026: $510M
Q4 2023: $265MQ1 2024: $269MQ2 2024: $306MQ3 2024: $337MQ4 2024: $352MQ1 2025: $362MQ2 2025: $412MQ3 2025: $419MQ4 2025: $442MQ1 2026: $453MQ2 2026: $495MQ3 2026: $510M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$509.8M+22%
Q2 2026$495.2M+20%
Q1 2026$452.8M+25%
Q4 2025$442.2M+26%
Q3 2025$419.5M+25%
Q2 2025$411.9M+34%
Q1 2025$361.6M+34%
Q4 2024$351.9M+33%

RELY's revenue has grown year over year for 23 quarters in a row: $510M last quarter, up 22% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

RELY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$35MQ1 2024: −$58MQ2 2024: $48MQ3 2024: $146MQ4 2024: $53MQ1 2025: $119MQ2 2025: $29MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $143MQ1 2026: $76MQ2 2026: $133MQ3 2026: $92M
Q4 2023: −$35MQ1 2024: −$58MQ2 2024: $48MQ3 2024: $146MQ4 2024: $53MQ1 2025: $119MQ2 2025: $29MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $143MQ1 2026: $76MQ2 2026: $133MQ3 2026: $92M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$91.6M+1788%
Q2 2026$133.4M+367%
Q1 2026$75.9M-36%
Q4 2025$143.3M+171%
Q3 2025$4.9M-97%
Q2 2025$28.6M-40%
Q1 2025$118.9M+$176.7M
Q4 2024$52.8M+$87.9M

RELY has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

RELY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 181MQ1 2024: 190MQ2 2024: 193MQ3 2024: 205MQ4 2024: 195MQ1 2025: 218MQ2 2025: 219MQ3 2025: 217MQ4 2025: 218MQ1 2026: 217MQ2 2026: 221MQ3 2026: 224M
Q4 2023: 181MQ1 2024: 190MQ2 2024: 193MQ3 2024: 205MQ4 2024: 195MQ1 2025: 218MQ2 2025: 219MQ3 2025: 217MQ4 2025: 218MQ1 2026: 217MQ2 2026: 221MQ3 2026: 224M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.1%+2.5M shares
1 year+2.9%+6.3M shares
3 years+22%+41M shares
5 years+38%+62.1M shares
Available history+672%+195M shares

RELY has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

RELY Net Leverage

Q1 2025: -38.2xQ2 2025: -11.2xQ3 2025: -8.1xQ4 2025: -3.8xQ1 2026: -4.5xQ2 2026: -3.4xQ3 2026: -2.6x
Q1 2025: -38.2xQ2 2025: -11.2xQ3 2025: -8.1xQ4 2025: -3.8xQ1 2026: -4.5xQ2 2026: -3.4xQ3 2026: -2.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.6xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-4.5xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.8xNet Cash
Q3 2025-8.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-11.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-38.2xNet Cash

RELY has more cash than debt.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

RELY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.0Neutral
Stochastic43.3Neutral

RELY's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 43 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RELY PE vs Technology Sector

MetricRELYSector medianRelative
PE14x28x50% below
PE %24543 pts below

RELY is trading at 14x earnings, a 50% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

RELY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$23.21.7% below
20 week MA$23.84.3% below
50 week MA$19.815% above
100 week MA$19.716% above
200 week MA$18.821% above

RELY has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +891% in 2023 to −65% in 2022. It's up 42% so far in 2026.

RELY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$44.1$21.6-51%
2022$21.6$9.64-55%
2023$9.64$19.4+101%
2024$19.4$22.8+17%
2025$22.8$14.2-38%
2026 YTD$14.2$22.8+60%

RELY has the edge over AAOI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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