AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI has the edge over REKR overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
REKR
Rekor Systems, Inc.
REKR has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
REKR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
REKR's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
REKR PE Valuation
REKR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
REKR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect REKR's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.
REKR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.16 | +$0.25 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.17 | +$0.35 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.24 | +$0.33 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.27 | +$0.43 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.41 | +$0.23 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.52 | +$0.14 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.57 | +$0.15 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.70 | +$0.02 |
REKR has the edge over AAOI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over REKR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI has the edge over REKR on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
REKR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $10.9M | -23% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.7M | +2.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $10.3M | +12% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.7M | -4.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.2M | +35% |
| Q2 2025 | $12.4M | -0.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $9.2M | -5.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $13.3M | +20% |
REKR's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $11M last quarter, down 23% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -21% | +6.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.8% | +64 points |
| Q1 2026 | -86% | +24 points |
| Q4 2025 | -55% | +84 points |
| Q3 2025 | -28% | +94 points |
| Q2 2025 | -63% | +19 points |
| Q1 2025 | -110% | +22 points |
| Q4 2024 | -139% | -55 points |
REKR's operating margin was −21% last quarter, up 6.6 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
REKR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$4.5M | +$1.7M |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.4M | +$5.6M |
| Q1 2026 | -$4.1M | +$4.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$254K | +$5.5M |
| Q3 2025 | -$6.3M | +$3.7M |
| Q2 2025 | -$8M | +$2.4M |
| Q1 2025 | -$8.4M | -$381K |
| Q4 2024 | -$5.7M | +$219K |
REKR has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
REKR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +44.1K shares |
| 1 year | +9.6% | +12M shares |
| 3 years | +152% | +83M shares |
| 5 years | +283% | +102M shares |
| Available history | +587% | +118M shares |
REKR has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $2,000 |
| Q4 2025 | $27,000 |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | $9,000 |
| Q2 2024 | — |
REKR has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
REKR Net Leverage
REKR's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
REKR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 24.7 | Neutral |
REKR's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 25 (neutral).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
REKR PE vs Technology Sector
REKR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has the edge over REKR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
REKR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $0.35 | 8.6% below |
| 20 week MA | $0.50 | 36% below |
| 50 week MA | $0.82 | 61% below |
| 100 week MA | $1.14 | 72% below |
| 200 week MA | $1.57 | 80% below |
REKR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 80% below its 200-week average.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over REKR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
REKR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $3.08 | $8.71 | +183% |
| 2021 | $8.71 | $6.85 | -21% |
| 2022 | $6.85 | $1.36 | -80% |
| 2023 | $1.36 | $3.33 | +145% |
| 2024 | $3.33 | $1.30 | -61% |
| 2025 | $1.30 | $1.56 | +20% |
| 2026 YTD | $1.56 | $0.32 | -79% |
REKR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +183% in 2020 to −80% in 2022. It's down 79% so far in 2026.