AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

RDVT

Red Violet, Inc.

77
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

RDVT has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

RDVT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

RDVT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

RDVT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE350x701x1051x1402x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE350x701x1051x1402x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap25x$29.57-61%
Forward44x$76.00—
Current64x$76.00—
Fair78x$93.41+23%
Expensive489x$581+665%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RDVT's PE is in its cheap range at 64x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 44x next year's earnings.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RDVT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for RDVT, with profitability improving.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI trails RDVT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDVT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$113.17
Downside-19%$61.83

Calculated from the latest close: $76.00 on Nov 12.

RDVT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAOI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

RDVT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.96Q1 2024: $1.04Q2 2024: $1.13Q3 2024: $0.38Q4 2024: $0.50Q1 2025: $0.61Q2 2025: $0.60Q3 2025: $0.77Q4 2025: $0.91Q1 2026: $0.97Q2 2026: $1.13Q3 2026: $1.19Forward: $1.75
Q4 2023: $0.96Q1 2024: $1.04Q2 2024: $1.13Q3 2024: $0.38Q4 2024: $0.50Q1 2025: $0.61Q2 2025: $0.60Q3 2025: $0.77Q4 2025: $0.91Q1 2026: $0.97Q2 2026: $1.13Q3 2026: $1.19Forward: $1.75
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.75+47%
Q3 2026$1.19+55%
Q2 2026$1.13+88%
Q1 2026$0.97+59%
Q4 2025$0.91+82%
Q3 2025$0.77+103%
Q2 2025$0.60-47%
Q1 2025$0.61-41%
Q4 2024$0.50-48%

RDVT has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over RDVT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

RDVT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: $18MQ2 2024: $19MQ3 2024: $19MQ4 2024: $20MQ1 2025: $22MQ2 2025: $22MQ3 2025: $23MQ4 2025: $23MQ1 2026: $26MQ2 2026: $27MQ3 2026: $28M
Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: $18MQ2 2024: $19MQ3 2024: $19MQ4 2024: $20MQ1 2025: $22MQ2 2025: $22MQ3 2025: $23MQ4 2025: $23MQ1 2026: $26MQ2 2026: $27MQ3 2026: $28M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$27.8M+20%
Q2 2026$26.7M+23%
Q1 2026$25.8M+17%
Q4 2025$23.4M+20%
Q3 2025$23.1M+21%
Q2 2025$21.8M+14%
Q1 2025$22M+26%
Q4 2024$19.6M+30%

RDVT's revenue has grown year over year for 23 quarters in a row: $28M last quarter, up 20% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

RDVT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $7MQ4 2024: $7MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: $7MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: $7MQ2 2026: $11MQ3 2026: $13M
Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $7MQ4 2024: $7MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: $7MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: $7MQ2 2026: $11MQ3 2026: $13M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$12.6M+26%
Q2 2026$10.5M+45%
Q1 2026$6.5M+32%
Q4 2025$6.6M-1.6%
Q3 2025$10M+38%
Q2 2025$7.3M+29%
Q1 2025$5M+17%
Q4 2024$6.7M+60%

RDVT has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

RDVT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 14MQ1 2024: 14MQ2 2024: 14MQ3 2024: 14MQ4 2024: 14MQ1 2025: 14MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 15MQ4 2025: 14MQ1 2026: 14MQ2 2026: 14MQ3 2026: 16M
Q4 2023: 14MQ1 2024: 14MQ2 2024: 14MQ3 2024: 14MQ4 2024: 14MQ1 2025: 14MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 15MQ4 2025: 14MQ1 2026: 14MQ2 2026: 14MQ3 2026: 16M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+8.9%+1.3M shares
1 year+7.8%+1.1M shares
3 years+9.9%+1.4M shares
5 years+15%+2.1M shares
Available history+46%+5M shares

RDVT has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

RDVT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -3.0xQ1 2024: -2.5xQ2 2024: -2.1xQ3 2024: -2.2xQ4 2024: -2.1xQ1 2025: -1.7xQ2 2025: -2.0xQ3 2025: -2.0xQ4 2025: -1.8xQ1 2026: -1.7xQ2 2026: -1.7xQ3 2026: -2.3x
Q4 2023: -3.0xQ1 2024: -2.5xQ2 2024: -2.1xQ3 2024: -2.2xQ4 2024: -2.1xQ1 2025: -1.7xQ2 2025: -2.0xQ3 2025: -2.0xQ4 2025: -1.8xQ1 2026: -1.7xQ2 2026: -1.7xQ3 2026: -2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.7xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.1xNet Cash

RDVT has more cash than debt.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

RDVT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.1Neutral
Stochastic61.7Neutral

RDVT's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 62 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RDVT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricRDVTSector medianRelative
PE64x28x129% above
PE %32353 pts below

RDVT is trading at 64x earnings, a 129% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

RDVT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$77.31.7% below
20 week MA$72.74.5% above
50 week MA$57.233% above
100 week MA$51.049% above
200 week MA$36.6108% above

RDVT has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over RDVT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RDVT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$18.6$26.4+42%
2021$26.4$39.3+49%
2022$39.3$24.4-38%
2023$24.4$20.0-18%
2024$20.0$36.6+83%
2025$36.6$55.2+51%
2026 YTD$55.2$76.0+38%

RDVT has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 38% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key