AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI has a slight edge over RCAT overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.
RCAT
Red Cat Holdings, Inc.
RCAT has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
RCAT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RCAT's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
RCAT PE Valuation
RCAT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
AAOI has the edge over RCAT on the outlook, with more favorable earnings expectations.
RCAT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses steady | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect RCAT's revenue to grow and its profitability to improve, with its earnings holding steady.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.
RCAT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.79 | +$0.04 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.68 | +$0.16 |
| Q1 2023 | -$0.38 | -$0.07 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.33 | +$0.27 |
| Q3 2022 | -$0.26 | +$0.33 |
| Q2 2022 | -$0.24 | +$0.32 |
RCAT has the edge over AAOI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $270M last quarter, up 127% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI has the edge over RCAT on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RCAT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $20.2M | +527% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.5M | +849% |
| Q4 2025 | $26.2M | +1866% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.6M | +529% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.2M | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.6M | -74% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.3M | -77% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.5M | -61% |
RCAT's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $20M last quarter, up 527% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -191% | +202 points |
| Q1 2026 | -176% | +589 points |
| Q4 2025 | -91% | +616 points |
| Q3 2025 | -182% | +687 points |
| Q2 2025 | -393% | +54 points |
| Q1 2025 | -766% | -647 points |
| Q4 2024 | -707% | -631 points |
| Q4 2024 | -869% | -753 points |
RCAT's operating margin was −191% last quarter, up 202 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
RCAT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$52.6M | -$39.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$38.7M | -$22.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$41.9M | -$25.7M |
| Q3 2025 | -$24.5M | -$14.4M |
| Q2 2025 | -$13.2M | -$10.8M |
| Q1 2025 | -$16.2M | -$13.8M |
| Q4 2024 | -$16.1M | -$12M |
| Q4 2024 | -$10.2M | -$5.7M |
RCAT has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$158M over the past year, against −$56M the year before.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has the edge over RCAT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
RCAT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +16M shares |
| 1 year | +50% | +45.6M shares |
| 3 years | +146% | +81.2M shares |
| 5 years | +302% | +103M shares |
| Available history | +709% | +120M shares |
RCAT has 137M diluted shares, up 50% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2024 | — |
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
RCAT Net Leverage
RCAT's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
RCAT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.9 | Oversold |
RCAT's weekly RSI is 32 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RCAT PE vs Technology Sector
RCAT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has the edge over RCAT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RCAT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $5.07 | 22% below |
| 20 week MA | $7.21 | 45% below |
| 50 week MA | $9.91 | 60% below |
| 100 week MA | $9.20 | 57% below |
| 200 week MA | $5.43 | 27% below |
RCAT is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 27% below its 200-week average.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over RCAT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RCAT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $1.28 | $1.75 | +37% |
| 2021 | $1.75 | $2.18 | +25% |
| 2022 | $2.18 | $0.77 | -65% |
| 2023 | $0.77 | $0.88 | +14% |
| 2024 | $0.88 | $12.3 | +1293% |
| 2025 | $12.3 | $8.30 | -32% |
| 2026 YTD | $8.30 | $3.94 | -53% |
RCAT's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1293% in 2024 to −65% in 2022. It's down 53% so far in 2026.