AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

POWI

Power Integrations, Inc.

72
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

POWI has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

POWI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Strong

POWI's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue is stable.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

POWI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE75x151x226x302x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE75x151x226x302x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap23x$18.45-60%
Forward26x$46.06—
Fair53x$41.55-9.8%
Current58x$46.06—
Expensive97x$76.52+66%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

POWI's PE is in its fair range at 58x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 26x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

POWI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for POWI, with profitability improving.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI trails POWI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

POWI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+83%$84.24
Downside-13%$39.96

Calculated from the latest close: $46.06 on Nov 12.

POWI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAOI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

POWI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.97Q1 2024: $0.92Q2 2024: $0.75Q3 2024: $0.66Q4 2024: $0.56Q1 2025: $0.64Q2 2025: $0.57Q3 2025: $0.30Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.30Q2 2026: $0.45Q3 2026: $0.79Forward: $1.76
Q4 2023: $0.97Q1 2024: $0.92Q2 2024: $0.75Q3 2024: $0.66Q4 2024: $0.56Q1 2025: $0.64Q2 2025: $0.57Q3 2025: $0.30Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.30Q2 2026: $0.45Q3 2026: $0.79Forward: $1.76
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.76+123%
Q3 2026$0.79+163%
Q2 2026$0.45-21%
Q1 2026$0.30-53%
Q4 2025$0.39-30%
Q3 2025$0.30-55%
Q2 2025$0.57-24%
Q1 2025$0.64-30%
Q4 2024$0.56-42%

POWI has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over POWI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

POWI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $90MQ1 2024: $92MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $116MQ4 2024: $105MQ1 2025: $106MQ2 2025: $116MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $103MQ1 2026: $108MQ2 2026: $119MQ3 2026: $125M
Q4 2023: $90MQ1 2024: $92MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $116MQ4 2024: $105MQ1 2025: $106MQ2 2025: $116MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $103MQ1 2026: $108MQ2 2026: $119MQ3 2026: $125M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$125.5M+5.5%
Q2 2026$118.9M+2.7%
Q1 2026$108.3M+2.6%
Q4 2025$103.2M-1.9%
Q3 2025$118.9M+2.7%
Q2 2025$115.9M+9.1%
Q1 2025$105.5M+15%
Q4 2024$105.3M+18%

POWI's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $125M last quarter, up 5.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

POWI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: $21MQ2 2025: $23MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: $19MQ1 2026: $18MQ2 2026: $18MQ3 2026: $36M
Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: $21MQ2 2025: $23MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: $19MQ1 2026: $18MQ2 2026: $18MQ3 2026: $36M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$36.5M+51%
Q2 2026$17.7M-24%
Q1 2026$18M-13%
Q4 2025$19.2M+64%
Q3 2025$24.2M-11%
Q2 2025$23.1M+72%
Q1 2025$20.7M+79%
Q4 2024$11.7M+15%

POWI has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

POWI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 58MQ1 2024: 57MQ2 2024: 57MQ3 2024: 57MQ4 2024: 57MQ1 2025: 57MQ2 2025: 56MQ3 2025: 56MQ4 2025: 56MQ1 2026: 56MQ2 2026: 57MQ3 2026: 57M
Q4 2023: 58MQ1 2024: 57MQ2 2024: 57MQ3 2024: 57MQ4 2024: 57MQ1 2025: 57MQ2 2025: 56MQ3 2025: 56MQ4 2025: 56MQ1 2026: 56MQ2 2026: 57MQ3 2026: 57M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-88K shares
1 year+1.5%+812K shares
3 years-2%-1.1M shares
5 years-7.7%-4.8M shares
Available history-5.7%-3.4M shares

POWI has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

POWI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.9xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.2xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -1.3xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.5xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -1.7xQ3 2026: -1.5x
Q4 2023: -0.9xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.2xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -1.3xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.5xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -1.7xQ3 2026: -1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.7xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

POWI has more cash than debt.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

POWI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.3Neutral
Stochastic14.0Oversold

POWI's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

POWI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricPOWISector medianRelative
PE58x28x109% above
PE %543519 pts above

POWI is trading at 58x earnings, a 109% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has the edge over POWI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

POWI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$47.22.4% below
20 week MA$55.217% below
50 week MA$55.517% below
100 week MA$53.113% below
200 week MA$64.529% below

POWI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 29% below its 200-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over POWI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

POWI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$49.5$79.5+61%
2021$79.5$89.4+12%
2022$89.4$72.1-19%
2023$72.1$82.1+14%
2024$82.1$63.0-23%
2025$63.0$37.3-41%
2026 YTD$37.3$46.1+23%

POWI has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 23% so far in 2026.

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