AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve, though they disagree widely on how much.

POET

POET Technologies Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score POET yet.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

POET Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

POET's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

POET PE Valuation

POET has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

POET Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect POET's revenue to grow, with its earnings and profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and POET's risk to reward.

POET Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $5.21 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and POET's risk to reward.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98โ€”
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI has the edge over POET on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

POET Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-0.54Q4 2023: $-0.50Q1 2024: $-0.49Q2 2024: $-0.52Q3 2024: $-0.59Q4 2024: $-0.88Q1 2025: $-0.68Q2 2025: $-0.75Q3 2025: $-0.65Q4 2025: $-0.69Q1 2026: $-0.85Q2 2026: $-0.71
Q3 2023: $-0.54Q4 2023: $-0.50Q1 2024: $-0.49Q2 2024: $-0.52Q3 2024: $-0.59Q4 2024: $-0.88Q1 2025: $-0.68Q2 2025: $-0.75Q3 2025: $-0.65Q4 2025: $-0.69Q1 2026: $-0.85Q2 2026: $-0.71
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.71+$0.04
Q1 2026-$0.85-$0.17
Q4 2025-$0.69+$0.19
Q3 2025-$0.65-$0.06
Q2 2025-$0.75-$0.23
Q1 2025-$0.68-$0.19
Q4 2024-$0.88-$0.38
Q3 2024-$0.59-$0.05

POET is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.71 per share over the past year, against $0.88 at its worst in late 2024.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over POET on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

POET Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $107,551Q1 2024: $8,671Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $3,685Q4 2024: $29,032Q1 2025: $166,760Q2 2025: $268,469Q3 2025: $298,434Q4 2025: $341,202Q1 2026: $503,389Q2 2026: $569,925
Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $107,551Q1 2024: $8,671Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $3,685Q4 2024: $29,032Q1 2025: $166,760Q2 2025: $268,469Q3 2025: $298,434Q4 2025: $341,202Q1 2026: $503,389Q2 2026: $569,925
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$569.9K+112%
Q1 2026$503.4K+202%
Q4 2025$341.2K+1075%
Q3 2025$298.4K+7999%
Q1 2025$166.8K+1823%
Q4 2024$29K-73%
Q1 2024$8.7K-95%
Q4 2023$107.6K-46%

POET's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $569,925 last quarter, up 112% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: โˆ’$34MQ2 2024: โˆ’$5MQ3 2024: โˆ’$21MQ4 2024: โˆ’$53MQ1 2025: โˆ’$79MQ2 2025: โˆ’$91MQ3 2025: โˆ’$79MQ4 2025: โˆ’$105MQ1 2026: โˆ’$144MQ2 2026: โˆ’$265MQ3 2026: โˆ’$370M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: โˆ’$34MQ2 2024: โˆ’$5MQ3 2024: โˆ’$21MQ4 2024: โˆ’$53MQ1 2025: โˆ’$79MQ2 2025: โˆ’$91MQ3 2025: โˆ’$79MQ4 2025: โˆ’$105MQ1 2026: โˆ’$144MQ2 2026: โˆ’$265MQ3 2026: โˆ’$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$883M over the past year, against โˆ’$302M the year before.

POET Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: โˆ’$5MQ4 2023: โˆ’$3MQ1 2024: โˆ’$5MQ2 2024: โˆ’$6MQ3 2024: โˆ’$7MQ4 2024: โˆ’$13MQ1 2025: โˆ’$10MQ2 2025: โˆ’$10MQ3 2025: โˆ’$3MQ4 2025: โˆ’$11MQ1 2026: โˆ’$11MQ2 2026: โˆ’$15M
Q3 2023: โˆ’$5MQ4 2023: โˆ’$3MQ1 2024: โˆ’$5MQ2 2024: โˆ’$6MQ3 2024: โˆ’$7MQ4 2024: โˆ’$13MQ1 2025: โˆ’$10MQ2 2025: โˆ’$10MQ3 2025: โˆ’$3MQ4 2025: โˆ’$11MQ1 2026: โˆ’$11MQ2 2026: โˆ’$15M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$15.2M-$5.3M
Q1 2026-$11.2M-$1.7M
Q4 2025-$10.9M+$1.8M
Q3 2025-$3.2M+$3.4M
Q2 2025-$9.9M-$3.5M
Q1 2025-$9.5M-$4.8M
Q4 2024-$12.7M-$9.7M
Q3 2024-$6.5M-$1.4M

POET has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has the edge over POET on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

POET Total Shares

Q3 2023: 41MQ4 2023: 40MQ1 2024: 47MQ2 2024: 56MQ3 2024: 65MQ4 2024: 73MQ1 2025: 78MQ2 2025: 81MQ3 2025: 90MQ4 2025: 93MQ1 2026: 148MQ2 2026: 162M
Q3 2023: 41MQ4 2023: 40MQ1 2024: 47MQ2 2024: 56MQ3 2024: 65MQ4 2024: 73MQ1 2025: 78MQ2 2025: 81MQ3 2025: 90MQ4 2025: 93MQ1 2026: 148MQ2 2026: 162M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+10%+14.8M shares
1 year+100%+81.3M shares
3 years+301%+122M shares
5 years+370%+128M shares
Available history+463%+134M shares

POET has 162M diluted shares, up 100% from a year ago.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

POET Net Leverage

POET's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

POET Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.0Neutral
Stochastic14.3Oversold

POET's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

POET PE vs Technology Sector

POET has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

POET Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.1115% below
20 week MA$7.2628% below
50 week MA$7.9434% below
100 week MA$6.5220% below
200 week MA$4.779.2% above

POET has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 9.2% above its 200-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over POET on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

POET Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.70$6.10+126%
2021$6.10$6.90+13%
2022$6.90$2.97-57%
2023$2.97$0.94-68%
2024$0.94$6.96+640%
2025$6.96$6.81-2.2%
2026 YTD$6.81$5.21-23%

POET's yearly returns have swung widely, from +640% in 2024 to โˆ’68% in 2023. It's down 23% so far in 2026.

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