AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI has a slight edge over PLUS overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

PLUS

ePlus inc.

58
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation40/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

PLUS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

PLUS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Unavailable
Strong

PLUS's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

PLUS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.4x13x19x25x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.4x13x19x25x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap13x$64.79-33%
Fair16x$80.46-17%
Forward16x$97.13—
Expensive18x$92.10-5.2%
Current19x$97.13—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PLUS's PE is in its expensive range at 19x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PLUS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PLUS, with profitability improving.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PLUS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PLUS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$113.11
Downside-14%$83.94

Calculated from the latest close: $97.13 on Nov 12.

PLUS trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

PLUS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.74Q1 2024: $4.33Q2 2024: $4.08Q3 2024: $4.03Q4 2024: $3.92Q1 2025: $4.05Q2 2025: $4.46Q3 2025: $4.61Q4 2025: $5.03Q1 2026: $5.03Q2 2026: $4.76Q3 2026: $5.00Forward: $5.99
Q4 2023: $4.74Q1 2024: $4.33Q2 2024: $4.08Q3 2024: $4.03Q4 2024: $3.92Q1 2025: $4.05Q2 2025: $4.46Q3 2025: $4.61Q4 2025: $5.03Q1 2026: $5.03Q2 2026: $4.76Q3 2026: $5.00Forward: $5.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.99+20%
Q3 2026$5.00+8.5%
Q2 2026$4.76+6.7%
Q1 2026$5.03+24%
Q4 2025$5.03+28%
Q3 2025$4.61+14%
Q2 2025$4.46+9.3%
Q1 2025$4.05-6.5%
Q4 2024$3.92-17%

PLUS has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over PLUS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PLUS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $509MQ1 2024: $554MQ2 2024: $545MQ3 2024: $515MQ4 2024: $511MQ1 2025: $498MQ2 2025: $637MQ3 2025: $609MQ4 2025: $615MQ1 2026: $582MQ2 2026: $649MQ3 2026: $668M
Q4 2023: $509MQ1 2024: $554MQ2 2024: $545MQ3 2024: $515MQ4 2024: $511MQ1 2025: $498MQ2 2025: $637MQ3 2025: $609MQ4 2025: $615MQ1 2026: $582MQ2 2026: $649MQ3 2026: $668M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$667.9M+9.7%
Q2 2026$649.1M+1.9%
Q1 2026$581.6M+17%
Q4 2025$614.8M+20%
Q3 2025$608.8M+18%
Q2 2025$637.3M+17%
Q1 2025$498.1M-10%
Q4 2024$511M+0.4%

PLUS's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $668M last quarter, up 9.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

PLUS has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 16% versus its history, compared with AAOI at down 676%.

PLUS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $133MQ1 2024: $105MQ2 2024: $97MQ3 2024: −$22MQ4 2024: $66MQ1 2025: $161MQ2 2025: −$99MQ3 2025: −$35MQ4 2025: --Q1 2026: $104MQ2 2026: $76MQ3 2026: −$59M
Q4 2023: $133MQ1 2024: $105MQ2 2024: $97MQ3 2024: −$22MQ4 2024: $66MQ1 2025: $161MQ2 2025: −$99MQ3 2025: −$35MQ4 2025: --Q1 2026: $104MQ2 2026: $76MQ3 2026: −$59M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$59M-$24.2M
Q2 2026$75.6M+$174.6M
Q1 2026$103.8M-36%
Q3 2025-$34.8M-$13.1M
Q2 2025-$99M-202%
Q1 2025$160.9M+53%
Q4 2024$65.7M-51%
Q3 2024-$21.6M-169%

PLUS usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$59M, but it generated $86M over the past year.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

PLUS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 27MQ1 2024: 27MQ2 2024: 27MQ3 2024: 27MQ4 2024: 27MQ1 2025: 27MQ2 2025: 26MQ3 2025: 26MQ4 2025: 26MQ1 2026: 26MQ2 2026: 26MQ3 2026: 26M
Q4 2023: 27MQ1 2024: 27MQ2 2024: 27MQ3 2024: 27MQ4 2024: 27MQ1 2025: 27MQ2 2025: 26MQ3 2025: 26MQ4 2025: 26MQ1 2026: 26MQ2 2026: 26MQ3 2026: 26M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-151K shares
1 year-1.9%-495K shares
3 years-2.9%-768K shares
5 years-3.5%-953K shares
Available history-3.2%-845K shares

PLUS has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

PLUS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -1.4xQ2 2024: -1.8xQ3 2024: -0.9xQ4 2024: -1.4xQ1 2025: -2.1xQ2 2025: -2.8xQ3 2025: -2.3xQ4 2025: -1.7xQ1 2026: -2.1xQ2 2026: -2.3xQ3 2026: -1.9x
Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -1.4xQ2 2024: -1.8xQ3 2024: -0.9xQ4 2024: -1.4xQ1 2025: -2.1xQ2 2025: -2.8xQ3 2025: -2.3xQ4 2025: -1.7xQ1 2026: -2.1xQ2 2026: -2.3xQ3 2026: -1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.8xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.4xNet Cash

PLUS has more cash than debt.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

PLUS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.4Neutral
Stochastic71.7Neutral

PLUS's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 72 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PLUS PE vs Technology Sector

MetricPLUSSector medianRelative
PE19x28x30% below
PE %903555 pts above

PLUS is trading at 19x earnings, a 30% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

PLUS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$93.63.8% above
20 week MA$90.96.9% above
50 week MA$86.612% above
100 week MA$78.923% above
200 week MA$74.630% above

PLUS has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over PLUS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PLUS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$42.2$43.2+2.4%
2021$43.2$52.5+22%
2022$52.5$43.6-17%
2023$43.6$79.8+83%
2024$79.8$73.5-7.9%
2025$73.5$90.0+22%
2026 YTD$90.0$97.1+7.9%

PLUS has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 7.9% so far in 2026.

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