AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
PI
Impinj, Inc.
PI has a slight edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
PI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Weak |
PI's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
PI PE Valuation
PI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
PI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for PI, with profitability improving.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI has the edge over PI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
PI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.73 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.31 | +$0.10 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.90 | -2350% |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.90 | -$0.89 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.37 | -127% |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.41 | -146% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.04 | -86% |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.01 | +$0.34 |
| Q4 2024 | $1.39 | +$3.01 |
PI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.31 per share over the past year, against $2.49 at its worst in early 2021.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over PI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI's operating margin was −0.5% last quarter, up 15 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
PI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $112.1M | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $108.4M | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $74.3M | 0% |
| Q4 2025 | $92.8M | +1.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $96.1M | +0.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $97.9M | -4.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $74.3M | -3.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $91.6M | +30% |
PI's revenue is growing: $112M last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.1% | +3.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 9.7% | -1.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | -20% | -7.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | -2.9% | +1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 0.7% | +1.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | +2.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | -13% | +2.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | -4% | +17 points |
PI has the edge over AAOI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
PI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.6M | +15% |
| Q2 2026 | $29.2M | +6.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.2M | +$15.2M |
| Q4 2025 | $13.6M | +60% |
| Q3 2025 | $18M | +286% |
| Q2 2025 | $27.3M | -38% |
| Q1 2025 | -$13M | -124% |
| Q4 2024 | $8.5M | +$9.7M |
PI has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
PI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.6% | +490K shares |
| 1 year | +7.4% | +2.2M shares |
| 3 years | +17% | +4.6M shares |
| 5 years | +29% | +7.2M shares |
| Available history | +44% | +9.6M shares |
PI has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
PI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 11.6x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 23.0x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 23.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 16.3x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 17.8x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 22.3x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 26.8x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 36.4x | High |
PI's net debt is about 12 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 18 years a year ago.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
PI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 55.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 50.4 | Neutral |
PI's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
PI PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | PI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
PI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.
PI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $178.3 | 1.6% below |
| 20 week MA | $167.6 | 4.6% above |
| 50 week MA | $148.3 | 18% above |
| 100 week MA | $141.5 | 24% above |
| 200 week MA | $132.1 | 33% above |
PI has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over PI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
PI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $26.7 | $42.6 | +60% |
| 2021 | $42.6 | $90.2 | +112% |
| 2022 | $90.2 | $111.9 | +24% |
| 2023 | $111.9 | $90.0 | -20% |
| 2024 | $90.0 | $147.9 | +64% |
| 2025 | $147.9 | $174.0 | +18% |
| 2026 YTD | $174.0 | $175.3 | +0.8% |
PI has finished higher in five of the last six years, three of them by more than 50%. It's up 0.8% so far in 2026.