AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI has the edge over PAAI overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
PAAI
Paradium.AI, Inc.
PAAI trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
PAAI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Weak | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong | |
| Weak |
PAAI's cash flow is currently strong, but its revenue, profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
PAAI PE Valuation
PAAI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
PAAI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong decline | |
| Decline | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| -- |
Analysts expect PAAI's earnings and revenue to decline, though with profitability holding steady.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.
PAAI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.01 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.02 | -101% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.20 | -92% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.48 | +2656% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.62 | +$6.52 |
| Q3 2025 | $2.68 | +$6.85 |
| Q2 2025 | $2.65 | +$7.41 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.09 | +$5.45 |
| Q4 2024 | -$3.90 | -$1.41 |
PAAI has the edge over AAOI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over PAAI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI has the edge over PAAI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
PAAI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.5M | -31% |
| Q2 2026 | $22.2M | -51% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.4M | -36% |
| Q4 2025 | $28.2M | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $29.8M | -11% |
| Q2 2025 | $45M | +66% |
| Q1 2025 | $31.8M | +9.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $36.2M | -49% |
PAAI's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $21M last quarter, down 31% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -4.5% | -36 points |
| Q2 2026 | 10% | -26 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.5% | -25 points |
| Q4 2025 | 27% | -1.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 32% | +7.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 36% | +46 points |
| Q1 2025 | 23% | +51 points |
| Q4 2024 | 29% | +29 points |
PAAI's operating margin was −4.5% last quarter, down 36 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
PAAI has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 347% versus its history, compared with AAOI at down 676%.
PAAI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | $2M | -46% |
| Q4 2025 | $13.1M | +$21.7M |
| Q3 2025 | $12.2M | +$14.5M |
| Q1 2025 | $3.7M | +$5.6M |
| Q4 2024 | -$8.6M | -$6.1M |
| Q4 2023 | -$2.5M | -176% |
| Q4 2022 | $3.3M | +$9.8M |
| Q3 2022 | -$7.3M | -569% |
PAAI's free cash flow has turned positive after five years mostly in the red: $27M over the past year.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
PAAI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +112K shares |
| 1 year | -0.2% | -84.5K shares |
| 3 years | +116% | +25.5M shares |
| 5 years | +355% | +37.2M shares |
| Available history | +2725% | +45.9M shares |
PAAI has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
PAAI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.2x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 3.8x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 4.0x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 9.2x | High |
PAAI's net debt is about 7.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.1 years a year ago.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
PAAI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 37.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.6 | Oversold |
PAAI's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
PAAI PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | PAAI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 4.5x | 28x | 84% below |
| PE % | 68 | 35 | 33 pts above |
PAAI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has the edge over PAAI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
PAAI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $1.00 | 39% below |
| 20 week MA | $1.06 | 42% below |
| 50 week MA | $2.09 | 71% below |
| 100 week MA | $3.15 | 81% below |
| 200 week MA | $2.97 | 79% below |
PAAI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 79% below its 200-week average.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over PAAI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
PAAI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $16.7 | $13.0 | -22% |
| 2021 | $13.0 | $14.3 | +10% |
| 2022 | $14.3 | $9.40 | -34% |
| 2023 | $9.40 | $2.38 | -75% |
| 2024 | $2.38 | $1.38 | -42% |
| 2025 | $1.38 | $4.18 | +203% |
| 2026 YTD | $4.18 | $0.61 | -85% |
PAAI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +203% in 2025 to −75% in 2023. It's down 85% so far in 2026.