AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
OUST
Ouster, Inc.
OUST has a slight edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
OUST Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
OUST's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
OUST PE Valuation
OUST has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
OUST Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect OUST's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.
OUST Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.65 | +$0.98 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.82 | +$0.98 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.93 | +$1.02 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.07 | +$1.01 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.63 | +$0.98 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.80 | +$1.16 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.95 | +$3.67 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.08 | +$9.02 |
OUST has the edge over AAOI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over OUST on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI has the edge over OUST on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
OUST Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $59.3M | +50% |
| Q2 2026 | $54.6M | +56% |
| Q1 2026 | $48.6M | +49% |
| Q4 2025 | $62.2M | +107% |
| Q3 2025 | $39.5M | +41% |
| Q2 2025 | $35M | +30% |
| Q1 2025 | $32.6M | +26% |
| Q4 2024 | $30.1M | +23% |
OUST's revenue has grown year over year for 15 quarters in a row: $59M last quarter, up 50% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -32% | +29 points |
| Q2 2026 | -37% | +40 points |
| Q1 2026 | -40% | +34 points |
| Q4 2025 | 1.4% | +87 points |
| Q3 2025 | -61% | +37 points |
| Q2 2025 | -77% | +17 points |
| Q1 2025 | -73% | +27 points |
| Q4 2024 | -85% | +68 points |
OUST's operating margin was −32% last quarter, up 29 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
OUST Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$35M | -$15M |
| Q2 2026 | -$15.4M | -$13.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$9.8M | -$4.4M |
| Q4 2025 | -$37.2M | -$33.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$20M | -$15.7M |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.2M | +$19.8M |
| Q1 2025 | -$5.4M | +$1.7M |
| Q4 2024 | -$4M | +$20.6M |
OUST has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
OUST Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +8.3% | +5.5M shares |
| 1 year | +23% | +13.5M shares |
| 3 years | +82% | +32.2M shares |
| 5 years | +1183% | +65.9M shares |
| Available history | +6407% | +70.4M shares |
OUST has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | $1,000 |
| Q3 2022 | $3,000 |
| Q2 2022 | $12,000 |
| Q1 2022 | $31,000 |
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
OUST Net Leverage
OUST's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
OUST Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 51.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 26.0 | Neutral |
OUST's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
OUST PE vs Technology Sector
OUST has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.
OUST Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $35.9 | 1.9% above |
| 20 week MA | $38.1 | 4% below |
| 50 week MA | $31.3 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $24.9 | 47% above |
| 200 week MA | $16.3 | 125% above |
OUST has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +891% in 2023 to −65% in 2022. It's up 42% so far in 2026.
OUST Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $97.0 | $162.5 | +68% |
| 2021 | $162.5 | $53.8 | -67% |
| 2022 | $53.8 | $8.88 | -83% |
| 2023 | $8.88 | $7.67 | -14% |
| 2024 | $7.67 | $12.5 | +63% |
| 2025 | $12.5 | $22.0 | +76% |
| 2026 YTD | $22.0 | $36.6 | +67% |
OUST has the edge over AAOI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.