AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
OTEX
Open Text Corporation
OTEX has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
OTEX Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure |
OTEX's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
OTEX PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 6.4x | $24.81 | — |
| Current | 9.4x | $24.81 | — |
| Cheap | 14x | $35.71 | +44% |
| Fair | 31x | $83.11 | +235% |
| Expensive | 53x | $139 | +462% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
OTEX's PE is in its cheap range at 9.4x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 6.4x.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
AAOI has the edge over OTEX on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
OTEX Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect OTEX's profitability to weaken, with its earnings and revenue holding steady.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.
OTEX Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.86 | +46% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.64 | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.58 | +56% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.05 | -16% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | -31% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.91 | +10% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.65 | -3.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.45 | +295% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.46 | +423% |
OTEX has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over OTEX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI's operating margin was −0.5% last quarter, up 15 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
OTEX Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | -4% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +2.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.3B | +2.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | +1.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | -3.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.3B | -13% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.3B | -13% |
OTEX's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $1.2B last quarter, down 4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | -0.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 24% | +9.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 16% | -1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 22% | -0.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 21% | +4.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 17% | +1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 22% | +5.6 points |
OTEX has the edge over AAOI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
OTEX Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $138.5M | +37% |
| Q2 2026 | $122M | -1.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $304.9M | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $279.4M | -8.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $101.2M | +$218.4M |
| Q2 2025 | $124M | -15% |
| Q1 2025 | $373.8M | +7.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $306.7M | +0.4% |
OTEX has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
OTEX Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.9% | -7.3M shares |
| 1 year | -4.6% | -11.7M shares |
| 3 years | -11% | -29.8M shares |
| 5 years | -11% | -31.1M shares |
| Available history | -11% | -29.5M shares |
OTEX has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $30M |
| Q2 2026 | $11.8M |
| Q1 2026 | $247M |
| Q4 2025 | $50M |
| Q3 2025 | $107.6M |
| Q2 2025 | $145.3M |
| Q1 2025 | $114.6M |
| Q4 2024 | $66M |
OTEX spent $339M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 22% from the year before.
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
OTEX Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.6x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.6x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 3.8x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 3.7x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.7x | Elevated |
OTEX's net debt is about 3.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.8 years a year ago.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
OTEX Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 50.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.4 | Neutral |
OTEX's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
OTEX PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | OTEX | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.4x | 28x | 66% below |
| PE % | 2 | 35 | 33 pts below |
OTEX is trading at 9.4x earnings, a 66% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.
OTEX Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $24.8 | 0.2% above |
| 20 week MA | $24.2 | 2.5% above |
| 50 week MA | $25.1 | 1.1% below |
| 100 week MA | $27.6 | 10% below |
| 200 week MA | $31.8 | 22% below |
OTEX has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over OTEX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
OTEX Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $44.1 | $45.7 | +3.8% |
| 2021 | $45.7 | $47.4 | +3.6% |
| 2022 | $47.4 | $29.0 | -39% |
| 2023 | $29.0 | $42.0 | +45% |
| 2024 | $42.0 | $28.3 | -33% |
| 2025 | $28.3 | $33.5 | +18% |
| 2026 YTD | $33.5 | $24.8 | -26% |
OTEX has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 26% so far in 2026.