AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve, though they disagree widely on how much.

ORIO

Orion Digital Corp.

There isn't enough reported data to score ORIO yet.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ORIO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Healthy
Weak

ORIO's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

ORIO PE Valuation

ORIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ORIO Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for ORIO to show an outlook.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and ORIO's risk to reward.

ORIO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $1.01 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and ORIO's risk to reward.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98โ€”
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

ORIO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-10.81Q4 2023: $-1.94Q1 2024: $-1.30Q2 2024: $-0.67Q3 2024: $-0.53Q4 2024: $-0.56Q1 2025: $-0.76Q2 2025: $0.12Q3 2025: $0.22Q4 2025: $-0.31Q1 2026: $-0.13Q2 2026: $-0.55
Q3 2023: $-10.81Q4 2023: $-1.94Q1 2024: $-1.30Q2 2024: $-0.67Q3 2024: $-0.53Q4 2024: $-0.56Q1 2025: $-0.76Q2 2025: $0.12Q3 2025: $0.22Q4 2025: $-0.31Q1 2026: $-0.13Q2 2026: $-0.55
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.55-558%
Q1 2026-$0.13+$0.63
Q4 2025-$0.31+$0.25
Q3 2025$0.22+$0.75
Q2 2025$0.12+$0.79
Q1 2025-$0.76+$0.54
Q4 2024-$0.56+$1.38
Q3 2024-$0.53+$10.28

ORIO has the edge over AAOI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over ORIO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ORIO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $11MQ4 2023: $12MQ1 2024: $13MQ2 2024: $12MQ3 2024: $12MQ4 2024: $13MQ1 2025: $12MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $12MQ4 2025: $17MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: $12M
Q3 2023: $11MQ4 2023: $12MQ1 2024: $13MQ2 2024: $12MQ3 2024: $12MQ4 2024: $13MQ1 2025: $12MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $12MQ4 2025: $17MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: $12M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.8M-0.5%
Q1 2026$11.7M-4.2%
Q4 2025$16.8M+32%
Q3 2025$11.9M-4.1%
Q2 2025$11.9M-3.1%
Q1 2025$12.2M-3.5%
Q4 2024$12.7M+4.7%
Q3 2024$12.4M+13%

ORIO's revenue has picked up after three years of holding roughly level: $12M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: โˆ’$34MQ2 2024: โˆ’$5MQ3 2024: โˆ’$21MQ4 2024: โˆ’$53MQ1 2025: โˆ’$79MQ2 2025: โˆ’$91MQ3 2025: โˆ’$79MQ4 2025: โˆ’$105MQ1 2026: โˆ’$144MQ2 2026: โˆ’$265MQ3 2026: โˆ’$370M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: โˆ’$34MQ2 2024: โˆ’$5MQ3 2024: โˆ’$21MQ4 2024: โˆ’$53MQ1 2025: โˆ’$79MQ2 2025: โˆ’$91MQ3 2025: โˆ’$79MQ4 2025: โˆ’$105MQ1 2026: โˆ’$144MQ2 2026: โˆ’$265MQ3 2026: โˆ’$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$883M over the past year, against โˆ’$302M the year before.

ORIO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $2MQ4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $444,319Q4 2024: โˆ’$182,790Q1 2025: $71,710Q2 2025: $236,220Q3 2025: โˆ’$3MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $1M
Q3 2023: $2MQ4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $444,319Q4 2024: โˆ’$182,790Q1 2025: $71,710Q2 2025: $236,220Q3 2025: โˆ’$3MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $1M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$1.3M+432%
Q1 2026$2.3M+3154%
Q4 2025$3.7M+$3.8M
Q3 2025-$2.5M-673%
Q2 2025$236.2K-89%
Q1 2025$71.7K-95%
Q4 2024-$182.8K-106%
Q3 2024$444.3K-80%

ORIO has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

ORIO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 18MQ4 2023: 18MQ1 2024: 18MQ2 2024: 18MQ3 2024: 24MQ4 2024: 24MQ1 2025: 24MQ2 2025: 24MQ3 2025: 24MQ4 2025: 24MQ1 2026: 24MQ2 2026: 24M
Q3 2023: 18MQ4 2023: 18MQ1 2024: 18MQ2 2024: 18MQ3 2024: 24MQ4 2024: 24MQ1 2025: 24MQ2 2025: 24MQ3 2025: 24MQ4 2025: 24MQ1 2026: 24MQ2 2026: 24M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-43K shares
1 year-1.7%-416K shares
3 years+279%+17.5M shares
5 years+294%+17.8M shares
Available history+938%+21.5M shares

ORIO has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ORIO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 6.5xQ1 2024: 5.4xQ2 2024: 13.9xQ3 2024: 14.0xQ4 2024: 20.3xQ2 2025: 4.1xQ3 2025: 3.2xQ4 2025: 17.4xQ1 2026: 5.7x
Q4 2023: 6.5xQ1 2024: 5.4xQ2 2024: 13.9xQ3 2024: 14.0xQ4 2024: 20.3xQ2 2025: 4.1xQ3 2025: 3.2xQ4 2025: 17.4xQ1 2026: 5.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 20265.7xHigh
Q4 202517.4xHigh
Q3 20253.2xElevated
Q2 20254.1xHigh
Q4 202420.3xHigh
Q3 202414.0xHigh
Q2 202413.9xHigh
Q1 20245.4xHigh

ORIO's net debt is about 5.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

ORIO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.7Neutral
Stochastic66.5Neutral

ORIO's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 66 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ORIO PE vs Technology Sector

MetricORIOSector medianRelative
PEN/A28xโ€”

ORIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

ORIO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.983.1% above
20 week MA$0.9012% above
50 week MA$0.992% above
100 week MA$1.2016% below
200 week MA$1.4530% below

ORIO has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over ORIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ORIO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$7.53$10.9+45%
2021$10.9$11.0+1.1%
2022$11.0$1.35-88%
2023$1.35$1.84+36%
2024$1.84$1.30-29%
2025$1.30$1.04-20%
2026 YTD$1.04$1.01-2.9%

ORIO has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 2.9% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key