AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve, though they disagree widely on how much.

OPEN

Opendoor Technologies Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score OPEN yet.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

OPEN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
N/A
N/A

OPEN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for real estate companies like OPEN.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

OPEN PE Valuation

OPEN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

AAOI has the edge over OPEN on the outlook, with more favorable earnings expectations.

OPEN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect OPEN's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and OPEN's risk to reward.

OPEN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $1.24 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and OPEN's risk to reward.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98โ€”
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI has the edge over OPEN on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OPEN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.42Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.58Q3 2024: $-0.53Q4 2024: $-0.56Q1 2025: $-0.52Q2 2025: $-0.43Q3 2025: $-0.44Q4 2025: $-1.70Q1 2026: $-1.76Q2 2026: $-1.89Q3 2026: $-2.00
Q4 2023: $-0.42Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.58Q3 2024: $-0.53Q4 2024: $-0.56Q1 2025: $-0.52Q2 2025: $-0.43Q3 2025: $-0.44Q4 2025: $-1.70Q1 2026: $-1.76Q2 2026: $-1.89Q3 2026: $-2.00
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.00-$1.56
Q2 2026-$1.89-$1.46
Q1 2026-$1.76-$1.24
Q4 2025-$1.70-$1.14
Q3 2025-$0.44+$0.09
Q2 2025-$0.43+$0.15
Q1 2025-$0.52-$0.10
Q4 2024-$0.56-$0.14

OPEN lost $2.00 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last five quarters.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over OPEN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OPEN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $870MQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $915MQ4 2025: $736MQ1 2026: $720MQ2 2026: $883MQ3 2026: $1B
Q4 2023: $870MQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $915MQ4 2025: $736MQ1 2026: $720MQ2 2026: $883MQ3 2026: $1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1B+12%
Q2 2026$883M-44%
Q1 2026$720M-38%
Q4 2025$736M-32%
Q3 2025$915M-34%
Q2 2025$1.6B+3.7%
Q1 2025$1.2B-2.4%
Q4 2024$1.1B+25%

OPEN's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $1B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: โˆ’$34MQ2 2024: โˆ’$5MQ3 2024: โˆ’$21MQ4 2024: โˆ’$53MQ1 2025: โˆ’$79MQ2 2025: โˆ’$91MQ3 2025: โˆ’$79MQ4 2025: โˆ’$105MQ1 2026: โˆ’$144MQ2 2026: โˆ’$265MQ3 2026: โˆ’$370M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: โˆ’$34MQ2 2024: โˆ’$5MQ3 2024: โˆ’$21MQ4 2024: โˆ’$53MQ1 2025: โˆ’$79MQ2 2025: โˆ’$91MQ3 2025: โˆ’$79MQ4 2025: โˆ’$105MQ1 2026: โˆ’$144MQ2 2026: โˆ’$265MQ3 2026: โˆ’$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$883M over the past year, against โˆ’$302M the year before.

OPEN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$551MQ1 2024: โˆ’$186MQ2 2024: โˆ’$407MQ3 2024: $56MQ4 2024: โˆ’$83MQ1 2025: โˆ’$283MQ2 2025: $821MQ3 2025: $432MQ4 2025: $67MQ1 2026: โˆ’$250MQ2 2026: โˆ’$723MQ3 2026: โˆ’$836M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$551MQ1 2024: โˆ’$186MQ2 2024: โˆ’$407MQ3 2024: $56MQ4 2024: โˆ’$83MQ1 2025: โˆ’$283MQ2 2025: $821MQ3 2025: $432MQ4 2025: $67MQ1 2026: โˆ’$250MQ2 2026: โˆ’$723MQ3 2026: โˆ’$836M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$836M-294%
Q2 2026-$723M-188%
Q1 2026-$250M+$33M
Q4 2025$67M+$150M
Q3 2025$432M+671%
Q2 2025$821M+$1.2B
Q1 2025-$283M-$97M
Q4 2024-$83M+$468M

OPEN has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

OPEN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 657MQ1 2024: 682MQ2 2024: 693MQ3 2024: 705MQ4 2024: 699MQ1 2025: 724MQ2 2025: 729MQ3 2025: 742MQ1 2026: 959MQ2 2026: 966MQ3 2026: 949M
Q4 2023: 657MQ1 2024: 682MQ2 2024: 693MQ3 2024: 705MQ4 2024: 699MQ1 2025: 724MQ2 2025: 729MQ3 2025: 742MQ1 2026: 959MQ2 2026: 966MQ3 2026: 949M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.7%-16.3M shares
1 year+30%+220M shares
3 years+42%+282M shares
5 years+61%+361M shares
Available history+1042%+866M shares

OPEN has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

OPEN Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2022337.2xHigh

OPEN's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for real estate companies like OPEN.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

OPEN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI20.6Oversold
Stochastic1.2Oversold

OPEN's weekly RSI is 21 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 1 (oversold).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OPEN PE vs Real Estate Sector

OPEN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has the edge over OPEN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

OPEN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.9737% below
20 week MA$3.0059% below
50 week MA$4.3772% below
100 week MA$3.7467% below
200 week MA$3.1360% below

OPEN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 60% below its 200-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over OPEN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

OPEN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.9$27.4+150%
2021$27.4$14.9-46%
2022$14.9$1.02-93%
2023$1.02$4.48+339%
2024$4.48$1.67-63%
2025$1.67$6.01+260%
2026 YTD$6.01$1.24-79%

OPEN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +339% in 2023 to โˆ’93% in 2022. It's down 79% so far in 2026.

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