AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI has the edge over ONDS overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.
ONDS
Ondas Holdings Inc.
ONDS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
ONDS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ONDS's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
ONDS PE Valuation
ONDS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
AAOI has the edge over ONDS on the outlook, with more favorable earnings expectations.
ONDS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect ONDS's losses to grow, with revenue growing.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.
ONDS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.09 | +$0.32 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.02 | +$0.51 |
| Q1 2026 | $0.09 | +$0.68 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.62 | -$0.01 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.41 | +$0.31 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.53 | +$0.18 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.59 | +$0.16 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.61 | +$0.27 |
ONDS has the edge over AAOI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $270M last quarter, up 127% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI has the edge over ONDS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ONDS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $167.5M | +1559% |
| Q2 2026 | $83.8M | +1235% |
| Q1 2026 | $50.1M | +1080% |
| Q4 2025 | $30.1M | +629% |
| Q3 2025 | $10.1M | +582% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.3M | +555% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.2M | +580% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.1M | -17% |
ONDS's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $167M last quarter, up 1559% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -113% | +40 points |
| Q2 2026 | -195% | -47 points |
| Q1 2026 | -85% | +158 points |
| Q4 2025 | -77% | +129 points |
| Q3 2025 | -154% | +431 points |
| Q2 2025 | -147% | +720 points |
| Q1 2025 | -243% | +1218 points |
| Q4 2024 | -206% | +49 points |
ONDS's operating margin was −113% last quarter, up 40 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
ONDS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$150.8M | -$139.6M |
| Q2 2026 | -$93.8M | -$85.3M |
| Q1 2026 | -$52.6M | -$45.8M |
| Q4 2025 | -$14.3M | -$6.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$11.1M | -$2.7M |
| Q2 2025 | -$8.5M | +$1.4M |
| Q1 2025 | -$6.8M | +$1.8M |
| Q4 2024 | -$8.1M | -$2.1M |
ONDS has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has the edge over ONDS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
ONDS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +23% | +114M shares |
| 1 year | +489% | +513M shares |
| 3 years | +1363% | +576M shares |
| 5 years | +2983% | +598M shares |
ONDS has 618M diluted shares, up 489% from a year ago.
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
ONDS Net Leverage
ONDS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
ONDS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 36.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 15.5 | Oversold |
ONDS's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ONDS PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | ONDS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
ONDS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.
ONDS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $6.35 | 16% below |
| 20 week MA | $7.23 | 26% below |
| 50 week MA | $8.92 | 40% below |
| 100 week MA | $6.08 | 12% below |
| 200 week MA | $3.57 | 49% above |
ONDS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 49% above its 200-week average.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over ONDS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
ONDS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | $18.0 | $18.0 | 0% |
| 2020 | $18.0 | $7.65 | -57% |
| 2021 | $7.65 | $7.16 | -6.4% |
| 2022 | $7.16 | $1.69 | -76% |
| 2023 | $1.69 | $1.53 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $1.53 | $2.59 | +69% |
| 2025 | $2.59 | $8.48 | +227% |
| 2026 YTD | $8.48 | $5.32 | -37% |
ONDS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +227% in 2025 to −76% in 2022. It's down 37% so far in 2026.