AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI has the edge over ODYS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

ODYS

Odysight.ai Inc.

37
Fundamentals12/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential40/ 100

ODYS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ODYS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ODYS's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

ODYS PE Valuation

ODYS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ODYS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Strong growth
--
Limited
High

Analysts expect ODYS's revenue to grow, with its earnings and profitability holding steady.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ODYS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ODYS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+69%$2.77
Downside-40%$0.98

Calculated from the latest close: $1.64 on Nov 12.

ODYS trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI has the edge over ODYS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ODYS Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.12Q4 2023: $-0.98Q1 2024: $-0.31Q2 2024: $-0.24Q3 2024: $-0.23Q4 2024: $-1.03Q1 2025: $-1.62Q2 2025: $-1.66Q3 2025: $-1.70Q4 2025: $-1.07Q1 2026: $-1.10Q2 2026: $-1.11
Q3 2023: $-1.12Q4 2023: $-0.98Q1 2024: $-0.31Q2 2024: $-0.24Q3 2024: $-0.23Q4 2024: $-1.03Q1 2025: $-1.62Q2 2025: $-1.66Q3 2025: $-1.70Q4 2025: $-1.07Q1 2026: $-1.10Q2 2026: $-1.11
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$1.11+$0.55
Q1 2026-$1.10+$0.52
Q4 2025-$1.07-$0.04
Q3 2025-$1.70-$1.47
Q2 2025-$1.66-$1.42
Q1 2025-$1.62-$1.31
Q4 2024-$1.03-$0.05
Q3 2024-$0.23+$0.89

ODYS is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $1.11 per share over the past year, against $1.87 at its worst in mid-2022.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over ODYS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ODYS Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $110,000Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: $187,000Q2 2024: $1MQ3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $1MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $362,000Q3 2025: $149,000Q4 2025: $439,000Q1 2026: $82,000Q2 2026: $420,000
Q3 2023: $110,000Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: $187,000Q2 2024: $1MQ3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $1MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $362,000Q3 2025: $149,000Q4 2025: $439,000Q1 2026: $82,000Q2 2026: $420,000
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$420K+16%
Q1 2026$82K-96%
Q4 2025$439K-66%
Q3 2025$149K-88%
Q2 2025$362K-69%
Q1 2025$2.1M+1004%
Q4 2024$1.3M-33%
Q3 2024$1.3M+1075%

ODYS's revenue is recovering but still below its 2025 peak: $420,000 last quarter, up 16% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

ODYS Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$2MQ4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: −$1MQ2 2024: −$2MQ3 2024: −$2MQ4 2024: −$3MQ1 2025: −$2MQ2 2025: −$4MQ3 2025: −$3MQ4 2025: −$4MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: −$4M
Q3 2023: −$2MQ4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: −$1MQ2 2024: −$2MQ3 2024: −$2MQ4 2024: −$3MQ1 2025: −$2MQ2 2025: −$4MQ3 2025: −$3MQ4 2025: −$4MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: −$4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$4.5M-$314K
Q1 2026-$4.3M-$2M
Q4 2025-$3.9M-$1.2M
Q3 2025-$3.4M-$1.2M
Q2 2025-$4.2M-$2.1M
Q1 2025-$2.3M-$1M
Q4 2024-$2.7M-$20K
Q3 2024-$2.2M+$85K

ODYS has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

ODYS Total Shares

Q3 2023: 10MQ2 2024: 10MQ3 2024: 12MQ1 2025: 15MQ2 2025: 16MQ3 2025: 16MQ1 2026: 16MQ2 2026: 17M
Q3 2023: 10MQ2 2024: 10MQ3 2024: 12MQ1 2025: 15MQ2 2025: 16MQ3 2025: 16MQ1 2026: 16MQ2 2026: 17M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.5%+406K shares
1 year+15%+2.2M shares
3 years+136%+9.7M shares

ODYS has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ODYS Net Leverage

ODYS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

ODYS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI27.6Oversold
Stochastic2.1Oversold

ODYS's weekly RSI is 28 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 2 (oversold).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ODYS PE vs Technology Sector

ODYS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has the edge over ODYS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ODYS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.2728% below
20 week MA$3.3251% below
50 week MA$4.2361% below
100 week MA$4.8666% below
200 week MA$4.7465% below

ODYS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 65% below its 200-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over ODYS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ODYS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$7.20$8.00+11%
2022$8.00$5.00-38%
2023$5.00$3.05-39%
2024$3.05$7.90+159%
2025$7.90$3.41-57%
2026 YTD$3.41$1.64-52%

ODYS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +159% in 2024 to −57% in 2025. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

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