AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI has the edge over ODD overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
ODD
Oddity Tech Ltd.
ODD's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
ODD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Weak |
ODD's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently under pressure.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
ODD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 17x | $4.01 | -76% |
| Forward | 17x | $16.73 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $8.06 | -52% |
| Current | 71x | $16.73 | — |
| Expensive | 140x | $33.57 | +101% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ODD's PE is in its expensive range at 71x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ODD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ODD, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.
ODD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.97 | +306% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.24 | -87% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.79 | -55% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.80 | +44% |
ODD has the edge over AAOI in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over ODD on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI has the edge over ODD on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ODD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $180.5M | -25% |
| Q1 2026 | $197.9M | -26% |
| Q4 2025 | $152.7M | +24% |
| Q3 2025 | $147.9M | +24% |
| Q2 2025 | $241.1M | +25% |
| Q1 2025 | $268.1M | +27% |
| Q4 2024 | $123.6M | +27% |
| Q3 2024 | $119M | +26% |
ODD's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $181M last quarter, down 25% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -0.7% | -24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -13% | -29 points |
| Q4 2025 | 1.1% | -2.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 12% | -4.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 24% | -3.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 16% | -2.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 3.3% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2024 | 16% | +9.7 points |
ODD's operating margin was −0.7% last quarter, down 24 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2022.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
ODD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $13.6M | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | -$25.3M | -129% |
| Q4 2025 | -$10.9M | -178% |
| Q3 2025 | -$14.3M | -201% |
| Q2 2025 | $11M | -54% |
| Q1 2025 | $85.9M | +304% |
| Q4 2024 | $14M | +1034% |
| Q3 2024 | $14.1M | +677% |
ODD has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
ODD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -4% | -2.2M shares |
| 1 year | -13% | -8.3M shares |
| 3 years | -4.3% | -2.5M shares |
ODD has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $82.7M |
| Q1 2026 | $80.1M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M |
| Q3 2024 | $36.9M |
ODD spent $163M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 19% from the year before.
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
ODD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 16.2x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
ODD's net debt is about 16 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
ODD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 44.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 64.8 | Neutral |
ODD's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 65 (neutral).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ODD PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | ODD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 71x | 28x | 154% above |
| PE % | 73 | 27 | 46 pts above |
ODD is trading at 71x earnings, a 154% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has stronger trend alignment. AAOI is above 1 of 5 weekly averages versus ODD above 0 of 4.
ODD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $20.3 | 18% below |
| 20 week MA | $17.4 | 3.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $20.7 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $37.6 | 55% below |
ODD is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 55% below its 100-week average.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over ODD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
ODD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $52.6 | $46.5 | -11% |
| 2024 | $46.5 | $43.6 | -6.4% |
| 2025 | $43.6 | $41.9 | -3.7% |
| 2026 YTD | $41.9 | $16.7 | -60% |
ODD has finished every year since 2023 lower, and it's down 60% so far in 2026.