AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI has the edge over NYAX overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

NYAX

Nayax Ltd.

46
Fundamentals54/ 100
Valuation30/ 100
Upside potential19/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

NYAX's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

NYAX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

NYAX's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

NYAX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE73x145x218x290x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE73x145x218x290x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward48x$52.18—
Cheap66x$13.83-73%
Fair82x$17.22-67%
Expensive228x$47.78-8.4%
Current246x$52.18—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NYAX's PE is in its expensive range at 246x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 48x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NYAX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NYAX, with profitability improving.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NYAX, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

NYAX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+13%$58.88
Downside-55%$23.33

Calculated from the latest close: $52.18 on Nov 12.

NYAX trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

NYAX Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-0.61Q4 2023: $-0.48Q1 2024: $-0.46Q2 2024: $-0.43Q3 2024: $-0.31Q4 2024: $-0.17Q1 2025: $0.18Q2 2025: $0.57Q3 2025: $0.65Q4 2025: $0.96Q1 2026: $0.79Q2 2026: $0.21Forward: $1.09
Q3 2023: $-0.61Q4 2023: $-0.48Q1 2024: $-0.46Q2 2024: $-0.43Q3 2024: $-0.31Q4 2024: $-0.17Q1 2025: $0.18Q2 2025: $0.57Q3 2025: $0.65Q4 2025: $0.96Q1 2026: $0.79Q2 2026: $0.21Forward: $1.09
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.09+420%
Q2 2026$0.21-63%
Q1 2026$0.79+339%
Q4 2025$0.96+$1.13
Q3 2025$0.65+$0.96
Q2 2025$0.57+$1.00
Q1 2025$0.18+$0.64
Q4 2024-$0.17+$0.31
Q3 2024-$0.31+$0.30

NYAX has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over NYAX on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

NYAX Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $60MQ4 2023: $70MQ1 2024: $64MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $83MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $81MQ2 2025: $96MQ3 2025: $106MQ4 2025: $122MQ1 2026: $106MQ2 2026: $123M
Q3 2023: $60MQ4 2023: $70MQ1 2024: $64MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $83MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $81MQ2 2025: $96MQ3 2025: $106MQ4 2025: $122MQ1 2026: $106MQ2 2026: $123M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$122.6M+28%
Q1 2026$105.9M+31%
Q4 2025$121.9M+37%
Q3 2025$105.8M+27%
Q2 2025$95.6M+22%
Q1 2025$81.1M+27%
Q4 2024$89M+27%
Q3 2024$83M+38%

NYAX's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $123M last quarter, up 28% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

NYAX Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $661,000Q4 2023: −$2MQ1 2024: −$4MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $9MQ1 2025: −$6MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: $977,300Q2 2026: −$4M
Q3 2023: $661,000Q4 2023: −$2MQ1 2024: −$4MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $9MQ1 2025: −$6MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: $977,300Q2 2026: −$4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$3.7M-167%
Q1 2026$977.3K+$6.7M
Q4 2025$16.3M+76%
Q3 2025$15.5M+53%
Q2 2025$5.6M+91%
Q1 2025-$5.7M-$1.3M
Q4 2024$9.3M+$10.8M
Q3 2024$10.1M+1431%

NYAX has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

NYAX Total Shares

Q3 2023: 33MQ4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 34MQ2 2024: 36MQ3 2024: 36MQ4 2024: 37MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 38MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 42MQ2 2026: 38M
Q3 2023: 33MQ4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 34MQ2 2024: 36MQ3 2024: 36MQ4 2024: 37MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 38MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 42MQ2 2026: 38M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-9.6%-4M shares
1 year-0.6%-211K shares
3 years+14%+4.6M shares
5 years+23%+7.1M shares
Available history+51%+12.7M shares

NYAX has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

NYAX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 102.9xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 1.9xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: -1.1xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -1.5xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: 1.0x
Q4 2023: 102.9xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 1.9xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: -1.1xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -1.5xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: 1.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20261.0xHealthy
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.5xNet Cash

NYAX's net debt is about a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

NYAX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.5Neutral
Stochastic28.3Neutral

NYAX's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NYAX PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNYAXSector medianRelative
PE246x28x781% above
PE %914051 pts above

NYAX is trading at 246x earnings, a 781% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

NYAX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$47.79.3% above
20 week MA$54.03.4% below
50 week MA$57.28.8% below
100 week MA$49.35.8% above
200 week MA$36.045% above

NYAX has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over NYAX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NYAX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2022$26.5$19.7-26%
2023$19.7$19.1-3.3%
2024$19.1$27.8+46%
2025$27.8$48.3+74%
2026 YTD$48.3$52.2+8%

NYAX has finished lower in two of the last four years. It's up 8% so far in 2026.

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