AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI has the edge over NVTS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
NVTS
Navitas Semiconductor Corporation
NVTS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
NVTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
NVTS's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
NVTS PE Valuation
NVTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NVTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect NVTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI has the edge over NVTS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NVTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.38 | -$0.73 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.33 | -$0.67 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.63 | -$0.10 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.57 | -$0.11 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.65 | -$0.25 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.66 | -$0.40 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.53 | -$0.04 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.46 | +$0.40 |
NVTS lost $1.38 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last three quarters.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over NVTS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI has the edge over NVTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NVTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $14M | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $10.5M | -27% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.6M | -39% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.3M | -59% |
| Q3 2025 | $10.1M | -53% |
| Q2 2025 | $14.5M | -29% |
| Q1 2025 | $14M | -40% |
| Q4 2024 | $18M | -31% |
NVTS's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $14M last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -246% | -54 points |
| Q2 2026 | -258% | -109 points |
| Q1 2026 | -323% | -142 points |
| Q4 2025 | -567% | -351 points |
| Q3 2025 | -192% | -58 points |
| Q2 2025 | -149% | +2.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | -181% | -44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -217% | -114 points |
NVTS's operating margin was −246% last quarter, down 54 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
NVTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$19.3M | -$8.6M |
| Q2 2026 | -$32.2M | -$20.3M |
| Q1 2026 | -$16.8M | -$3.2M |
| Q4 2025 | -$8.2M | +$2.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$10.7M | +$3.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$11.9M | +$6M |
| Q1 2025 | -$13.6M | +$9.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$10.8M | +$13.3M |
NVTS has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
NVTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +8.7% | +20.9M shares |
| 1 year | +23% | +48.8M shares |
| 3 years | +41% | +75.9M shares |
| 5 years | +1176% | +241M shares |
NVTS has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | $550,000 |
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
NVTS Net Leverage
NVTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
NVTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.1 | Oversold |
NVTS's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NVTS PE vs Technology Sector
NVTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.
NVTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.84 | 2.8% below |
| 20 week MA | $11.4 | 16% below |
| 50 week MA | $12.6 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $9.01 | 6.1% above |
| 200 week MA | $7.35 | 30% above |
NVTS has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over NVTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NVTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $10.7 | $15.0 | +41% |
| 2022 | $15.0 | $3.48 | -77% |
| 2023 | $3.48 | $8.07 | +132% |
| 2024 | $8.07 | $4.03 | -50% |
| 2025 | $4.03 | $7.40 | +84% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.40 | $9.56 | +29% |
NVTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +132% in 2023 to −77% in 2022. It's up 29% so far in 2026.