AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
NTNX
Nutanix, Inc.
NTNX has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
NTNX Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy |
NTNX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
NTNX PE Valuation
NTNX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NTNX Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NTNX, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
NTNX has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 112% for AAOI versus NTNX down 83%.
NTNX Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.36 | +23489% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.01 | +$0.07 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.27 | +$0.03 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.34 | +$0.39 |
| Q3 2024 | -$0.51 | +$0.58 |
| Q2 2024 | -$0.06 | +$1.62 |
| Q1 2024 | -$0.30 | +$1.58 |
| Q4 2023 | -$0.73 | +$1.37 |
| Q3 2023 | -$1.09 | +$2.53 |
NTNX has returned to profit: it earned $0.01 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over NTNX on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI's operating margin was −0.5% last quarter, up 15 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
NTNX Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $757.1M | +16% |
| Q2 2026 | $703.1M | +10% |
| Q1 2026 | $722.8M | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $670.6M | +13% |
| Q3 2025 | $653.3M | +19% |
| Q2 2025 | $639M | +22% |
| Q1 2025 | $654.7M | +16% |
| Q4 2024 | $591M | +16% |
NTNX's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $757M last quarter, up 16% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.2% | +4.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 10% | +2.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 12% | +1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.4% | +2.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 4.8% | +7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 7.6% | +9.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 10% | +3.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 4.6% | +5.7 points |
NTNX has the edge over AAOI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
NTNX Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $277.6M | +34% |
| Q2 2026 | $197.2M | -3.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $191.4M | +2.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $174.5M | +15% |
| Q3 2025 | $207.8M | -7.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $203.4M | +160% |
| Q1 2025 | $187.1M | +15% |
| Q4 2024 | $151.9M | +15% |
NTNX has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
NTNX Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -18% | -52.8M shares |
| 1 year | +6% | +13.8M shares |
| 3 years | +21% | +42.7M shares |
NTNX has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $50.3M |
| Q2 2026 | $50.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $332.9M |
| Q4 2025 | $50.2M |
| Q3 2025 | $50M |
| Q2 2025 | $37.8M |
| Q1 2025 | $200M |
| Q4 2024 | $20.1M |
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
NTNX Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
NTNX's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.3 years a year ago.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
NTNX Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 49.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.2 | Neutral |
NTNX's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 25 (neutral).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NTNX PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | NTNX | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
NTNX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.
NTNX Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $67.4 | 9.6% below |
| 20 week MA | $64.2 | 5.2% below |
| 50 week MA | $52.4 | 16% above |
| 100 week MA | $61.2 | 0.6% below |
| 200 week MA | $53.6 | 14% above |
NTNX has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over NTNX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NTNX Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $31.7 | $33.2 | +4.7% |
| 2021 | $33.2 | $32.5 | -2.3% |
| 2022 | $32.5 | $25.7 | -21% |
| 2023 | $25.7 | $47.7 | +86% |
| 2024 | $47.7 | $62.5 | +31% |
| 2025 | $62.5 | $52.8 | -15% |
| 2026 YTD | $52.8 | $60.9 | +15% |
NTNX has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 15% so far in 2026.