AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI has the edge over NRDY overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
NRDY
Nerdy, Inc.
NRDY has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
NRDY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
NRDY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
NRDY PE Valuation
NRDY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
AAOI has the edge over NRDY on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
NRDY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Decline | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect NRDY's losses to shrink, with revenue declining.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.
NRDY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$3.11 | +$2.14 |
| Q2 2026 | -$3.60 | +$2.25 |
| Q1 2026 | -$4.05 | +$1.95 |
| Q4 2025 | -$4.95 | +$0.75 |
| Q3 2025 | -$5.25 | -$0.30 |
| Q2 2025 | -$5.85 | -$1.05 |
| Q1 2025 | -$6.00 | -$1.95 |
| Q4 2024 | -$5.70 | +$0.45 |
NRDY has the edge over AAOI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over NRDY on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI has the edge over NRDY on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NRDY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $33.2M | -10% |
| Q2 2026 | $43.2M | -4.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $48.7M | +2.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $49.1M | +2.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $37M | -1.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $45.3M | -11% |
| Q1 2025 | $47.6M | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $48M | -13% |
NRDY's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $33M last quarter, down 10% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -37% | +14 points |
| Q2 2026 | -15% | +12 points |
| Q1 2026 | -12% | +23 points |
| Q4 2025 | -28% | +5.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | -52% | +17 points |
| Q2 2025 | -27% | +2.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | -35% | -11 points |
| Q4 2024 | -34% | -16 points |
NRDY's operating margin was −37% last quarter, up 14 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
NRDY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$5.9M | -$1.8M |
| Q2 2026 | -$6.3M | +$1.9M |
| Q1 2026 | -$3M | +$4.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$4.3M | +$8.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$4.1M | +$856K |
| Q2 2025 | -$8.2M | -$1.1M |
| Q1 2025 | -$7.6M | -457% |
| Q4 2024 | -$12.5M | -$4.5M |
NRDY has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
NRDY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.1% | +95.5K shares |
| 1 year | +5.1% | +410K shares |
| 3 years | +32% | +2M shares |
| 5 years | +61% | +3.2M shares |
NRDY has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
NRDY Net Leverage
NRDY's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
NRDY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 23.9 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 10.1 | Oversold |
NRDY's weekly RSI is 24 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NRDY PE vs Technology Sector
NRDY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has the edge over NRDY on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NRDY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $6.70 | 12% below |
| 20 week MA | $9.52 | 38% below |
| 50 week MA | $12.5 | 53% below |
| 100 week MA | $17.3 | 66% below |
| 200 week MA | $29.3 | 80% below |
NRDY is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 80% below its 200-week average.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over NRDY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NRDY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $145.5 | $168.9 | +16% |
| 2021 | $168.9 | $75.5 | -55% |
| 2022 | $75.5 | $30.6 | -59% |
| 2023 | $30.6 | $51.5 | +68% |
| 2024 | $51.5 | $25.2 | -51% |
| 2025 | $25.2 | $16.8 | -33% |
| 2026 YTD | $16.8 | $5.88 | -65% |
NRDY has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 65% so far in 2026.