AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve, though they disagree widely on how much.

NEON

Neonode Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score NEON yet.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

NEON Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Weak
Weak
Strong

NEON's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are weak.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

NEON PE Valuation

NEON has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NEON Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for NEON to show an outlook.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and NEON's risk to reward.

NEON Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $0.63 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and NEON's risk to reward.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98โ€”
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI has the edge over NEON in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

NEON Earnings Per Share

Q4 2025: $0.52Q1 2026: $0.51Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $-0.43
Q4 2025: $0.52Q1 2026: $0.51Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $-0.43

NEON lost $0.43 per share over the past year, a smaller loss than the year before, but its loss has widened in each of the last three quarters.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over NEON on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NEON Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $993,000Q1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: $1MQ3 2024: $838,000Q4 2024: $655,000Q1 2025: $513,000Q2 2025: $599,000Q3 2025: $430,000Q4 2025: $520,000Q1 2026: $614,000Q2 2026: $477,000Q3 2026: $535,000
Q4 2023: $993,000Q1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: $1MQ3 2024: $838,000Q4 2024: $655,000Q1 2025: $513,000Q2 2025: $599,000Q3 2025: $430,000Q4 2025: $520,000Q1 2026: $614,000Q2 2026: $477,000Q3 2026: $535,000
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$535K+24%
Q2 2026$477K-20%
Q1 2026$614K+20%
Q4 2025$520K-21%
Q3 2025$430K-49%
Q2 2025$599K-58%
Q1 2025$513K-49%
Q4 2024$655K-34%

NEON's revenue is recovering but still below its 2020 peak: $535,000 last quarter, up 24% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: โˆ’$34MQ2 2024: โˆ’$5MQ3 2024: โˆ’$21MQ4 2024: โˆ’$53MQ1 2025: โˆ’$79MQ2 2025: โˆ’$91MQ3 2025: โˆ’$79MQ4 2025: โˆ’$105MQ1 2026: โˆ’$144MQ2 2026: โˆ’$265MQ3 2026: โˆ’$370M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: โˆ’$34MQ2 2024: โˆ’$5MQ3 2024: โˆ’$21MQ4 2024: โˆ’$53MQ1 2025: โˆ’$79MQ2 2025: โˆ’$91MQ3 2025: โˆ’$79MQ4 2025: โˆ’$105MQ1 2026: โˆ’$144MQ2 2026: โˆ’$265MQ3 2026: โˆ’$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$883M over the past year, against โˆ’$302M the year before.

NEON Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$2MQ1 2024: โˆ’$2MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: โˆ’$1MQ4 2024: โˆ’$1MQ1 2025: โˆ’$1MQ2 2025: โˆ’$2MQ3 2025: โˆ’$2MQ4 2025: โˆ’$6MQ1 2026: โˆ’$2MQ2 2026: โˆ’$2MQ3 2026: โˆ’$2M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$2MQ1 2024: โˆ’$2MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: โˆ’$1MQ4 2024: โˆ’$1MQ1 2025: โˆ’$1MQ2 2025: โˆ’$2MQ3 2025: โˆ’$2MQ4 2025: โˆ’$6MQ1 2026: โˆ’$2MQ2 2026: โˆ’$2MQ3 2026: โˆ’$2M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.6M-$30K
Q2 2026-$1.9M-$172K
Q1 2026-$2.1M-$719K
Q4 2025-$5.6M-$4.5M
Q3 2025-$1.6M-$308K
Q1 2025-$1.4M+$515K
Q4 2024-$1.2M+$1.1M
Q3 2024-$1.3M+$513K

NEON has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

NEON Total Shares

Q2 2025: 17MQ3 2025: 17MQ4 2025: 17MQ1 2026: 17MQ2 2026: 17MQ3 2026: 17M
Q2 2025: 17MQ3 2025: 17MQ4 2025: 17MQ1 2026: 17MQ2 2026: 17MQ3 2026: 17M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year0%--

NEON has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

NEON Net Leverage

Q3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -3.2xQ2 2026: -3.0x
Q3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -3.2xQ2 2026: -3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-3.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash

NEON has more cash than debt.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

NEON Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI29.4Oversold
Stochastic12.3Oversold

NEON's weekly RSI is 29 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NEON PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNEONSector medianRelative
PE1.3x28x95% below
PE %03535 pts below

NEON has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has the edge over NEON on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NEON Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.7617% below
20 week MA$0.8324% below
50 week MA$1.3453% below
100 week MA$6.2390% below
200 week MA$5.3688% below

NEON is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 88% below its 200-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over NEON on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NEON Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1.90$7.11+274%
2021$7.11$9.34+31%
2022$9.34$5.60-40%
2023$5.60$2.29-59%
2024$2.29$8.26+261%
2025$8.26$1.93-77%
2026 YTD$1.93$0.63-67%

NEON's yearly returns have swung widely, from +274% in 2020 to โˆ’77% in 2025. It's down 67% so far in 2026.

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