AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI has the edge over MYPS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

MYPS

PLAYSTUDIOS, Inc.

41
Fundamentals35/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential41/ 100

MYPS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MYPS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
Stable
Strong

MYPS's balance sheet is currently strong, and its cash flow is stable, but its revenue and profitability are under pressure.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

MYPS PE Valuation

MYPS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

AAOI has the edge over MYPS on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

MYPS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Decline
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect MYPS's losses to shrink, with revenue declining.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MYPS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MYPS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+70%$8.16
Downside-41%$2.82

Calculated from the latest close: $4.81 on Nov 12.

MYPS trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI has the edge over MYPS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MYPS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.50Q1 2024: $-1.30Q2 2024: $-1.40Q3 2024: $-1.90Q4 2024: $-2.20Q1 2025: $-2.40Q2 2025: $-2.40Q3 2025: $-2.90Q4 2025: $-2.30Q1 2026: $-2.90Q2 2026: $-3.70Q3 2026: $-3.92
Q4 2023: $-1.50Q1 2024: $-1.30Q2 2024: $-1.40Q3 2024: $-1.90Q4 2024: $-2.20Q1 2025: $-2.40Q2 2025: $-2.40Q3 2025: $-2.90Q4 2025: $-2.30Q1 2026: $-2.90Q2 2026: $-3.70Q3 2026: $-3.92
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.92-$1.02
Q2 2026-$3.70-$1.30
Q1 2026-$2.90-$0.50
Q4 2025-$2.30-$0.10
Q3 2025-$2.90-$1.00
Q2 2025-$2.40-$1.00
Q1 2025-$2.40-$1.10
Q4 2024-$2.20-$0.70

MYPS lost $3.92 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over MYPS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MYPS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $77MQ1 2024: $78MQ2 2024: $73MQ3 2024: $71MQ4 2024: $68MQ1 2025: $63MQ2 2025: $59MQ3 2025: $58MQ4 2025: $55MQ1 2026: $58MQ2 2026: $55MQ3 2026: $49M
Q4 2023: $77MQ1 2024: $78MQ2 2024: $73MQ3 2024: $71MQ4 2024: $68MQ1 2025: $63MQ2 2025: $59MQ3 2025: $58MQ4 2025: $55MQ1 2026: $58MQ2 2026: $55MQ3 2026: $49M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$48.9M-15%
Q2 2026$55M-7.3%
Q1 2026$58.4M-6.9%
Q4 2025$55.4M-18%
Q3 2025$57.6M-19%
Q2 2025$59.3M-18%
Q1 2025$62.7M-19%
Q4 2024$67.8M-12%

MYPS's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $49M last quarter, down 15% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

MYPS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $14MQ4 2024: $11MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $13MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: $5MQ3 2026: $8M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $14MQ4 2024: $11MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $13MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: $5MQ3 2026: $8M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$7.6M+42%
Q2 2026$5.4M-59%
Q1 2026$3.7M+15%
Q4 2025$3.6M-69%
Q3 2025$5.4M-62%
Q2 2025$13.2M+3.4%
Q1 2025$3.2M-10%
Q4 2024$11.5M-19%

MYPS has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

MYPS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 13MQ1 2024: 14MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 12M
Q4 2023: 13MQ1 2024: 14MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 12M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-5.6%-718K shares
1 year-4.2%-526K shares
3 years-20%-2.9M shares
5 years-13%-1.8M shares
Available history-53%-13.5M shares

MYPS has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MYPS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -3.8xQ1 2024: -3.6xQ2 2024: -3.1xQ3 2024: -3.2xQ4 2024: -8.6xQ1 2025: -11.0xQ2 2025: -14.2xQ3 2025: -36.8xQ4 2025: -7.3xQ1 2026: -25.2x
Q4 2023: -3.8xQ1 2024: -3.6xQ2 2024: -3.1xQ3 2024: -3.2xQ4 2024: -8.6xQ1 2025: -11.0xQ2 2025: -14.2xQ3 2025: -36.8xQ4 2025: -7.3xQ1 2026: -25.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2026-25.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-7.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-36.8xNet Cash
Q2 2025-14.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-11.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-8.6xNet Cash
Q3 2024-3.2xNet Cash
Q2 2024-3.1xNet Cash

MYPS has more cash than debt.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

MYPS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.0Neutral
Stochastic29.3Neutral

MYPS's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 29 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MYPS PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMYPSSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

MYPS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

MYPS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.458.1% above
20 week MA$5.3610% below
50 week MA$5.3911% below
100 week MA$9.1647% below
200 week MA$19.175% below

MYPS has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 75% below its 200-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over MYPS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MYPS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$100.5$100.50%
2021$100.5$41.8-58%
2022$41.8$37.7-9.8%
2023$37.7$27.1-28%
2024$27.1$19.1-30%
2025$19.1$6.76-65%
2026 YTD$6.76$4.81-29%

MYPS has finished every year since 2020 lower, and it's down 29% so far in 2026.

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