AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve, though they disagree widely on how much.

MX

Magnachip Semiconductor Corporation

There isn't enough reported data to score MX yet.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Unavailable
Strong

MX's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

MX PE Valuation

MX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect MX's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and MX's risk to reward.

MX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $2.82 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and MX's risk to reward.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98โ€”
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

MX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.89Q1 2024: $-0.80Q2 2024: $-1.05Q3 2024: $-1.18Q4 2024: $-1.44Q1 2025: $-1.28Q2 2025: $-0.93Q3 2025: $-1.03Q4 2025: $-0.82Q1 2026: $-0.71Q2 2026: $-0.85Q3 2026: $-0.83
Q4 2023: $-0.89Q1 2024: $-0.80Q2 2024: $-1.05Q3 2024: $-1.18Q4 2024: $-1.44Q1 2025: $-1.28Q2 2025: $-0.93Q3 2025: $-1.03Q4 2025: $-0.82Q1 2026: $-0.71Q2 2026: $-0.85Q3 2026: $-0.83
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.83+$0.20
Q2 2026-$0.85+$0.08
Q1 2026-$0.71+$0.57
Q4 2025-$0.82+$0.62
Q3 2025-$1.03+$0.15
Q2 2025-$0.93+$0.12
Q1 2025-$1.28-$0.48
Q4 2024-$1.44-$0.55

MX has the edge over AAOI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over MX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $51MQ1 2024: $49MQ2 2024: $53MQ3 2024: $66MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: $48MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: $41MQ1 2026: $46MQ2 2026: $45MQ3 2026: $44M
Q4 2023: $51MQ1 2024: $49MQ2 2024: $53MQ3 2024: $66MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: $48MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: $41MQ1 2026: $46MQ2 2026: $45MQ3 2026: $44M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$44M-4.3%
Q2 2026$44.7M-6.1%
Q1 2026$46.2M+3.3%
Q4 2025$40.6M-36%
Q3 2025$45.9M-31%
Q2 2025$47.6M-10%
Q1 2025$44.7M-8.9%
Q4 2024$63M+24%

MX's revenue has slid since its 2019 peak: $44M last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: โˆ’$34MQ2 2024: โˆ’$5MQ3 2024: โˆ’$21MQ4 2024: โˆ’$53MQ1 2025: โˆ’$79MQ2 2025: โˆ’$91MQ3 2025: โˆ’$79MQ4 2025: โˆ’$105MQ1 2026: โˆ’$144MQ2 2026: โˆ’$265MQ3 2026: โˆ’$370M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: โˆ’$34MQ2 2024: โˆ’$5MQ3 2024: โˆ’$21MQ4 2024: โˆ’$53MQ1 2025: โˆ’$79MQ2 2025: โˆ’$91MQ3 2025: โˆ’$79MQ4 2025: โˆ’$105MQ1 2026: โˆ’$144MQ2 2026: โˆ’$265MQ3 2026: โˆ’$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

MX has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 517% versus its history, compared with AAOI at down 676%.

MX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$7MQ1 2024: โˆ’$5MQ2 2024: โˆ’$2MQ3 2024: โˆ’$16MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: โˆ’$5MQ2 2025: โˆ’$37MQ3 2025: โˆ’$7MQ4 2025: โˆ’$5MQ1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: โˆ’$29M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$7MQ1 2024: โˆ’$5MQ2 2024: โˆ’$2MQ3 2024: โˆ’$16MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: โˆ’$5MQ2 2025: โˆ’$37MQ3 2025: โˆ’$7MQ4 2025: โˆ’$5MQ1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: โˆ’$29M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$28.7M-$21.2M
Q4 2025-$4.8M-209%
Q3 2025-$7.5M+$8M
Q2 2025-$37M-$35M
Q1 2025-$4.9M-$237K
Q4 2024$4.4M+$11.9M
Q3 2024-$15.5M-1694%
Q2 2024-$2M+$9.2M

MX has burned cash in seven of the last eight quarters: โˆ’$78M over the past year, against โˆ’$18M the year before.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

MX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 41MQ1 2024: 39MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 37MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 37MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 36MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 36MQ3 2026: 37M
Q4 2023: 41MQ1 2024: 39MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 37MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 37MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 36MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 36MQ3 2026: 37M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+194K shares
1 year+2%+715K shares
3 years-8.7%-3.5M shares
5 years-23%-11.2M shares
Available history-20%-9.4M shares

MX has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MX Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2022-23.1xNet Cash
Q3 2022-3.0xNet Cash
Q2 2022-2.4xNet Cash
Q1 2022-2.5xNet Cash
Q4 2020-4.5xNet Cash
Q3 2020-4.8xNet Cash
Q2 20201.5xHealthy
Q1 20201.8xHealthy

MX has more cash than debt.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

MX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.1Neutral
Stochastic19.7Oversold

MX's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MX PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMXSector medianRelative
PEN/A28xโ€”

MX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has the edge over MX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.830.4% below
20 week MA$3.2012% below
50 week MA$3.5420% below
100 week MA$3.5320% below
200 week MA$5.2847% below

MX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 47% below its 200-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over MX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.7$13.1+12%
2021$13.1$19.7+51%
2022$19.7$8.71-56%
2023$8.71$7.50-14%
2024$7.50$4.15-45%
2025$4.15$2.64-36%
2026 YTD$2.64$2.82+6.8%

MX has finished four years in a row lower, and it's up 6.8% so far in 2026.

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