AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI has the edge over MVIS overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.
MVIS
MicroVision, Inc.
MVIS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
MVIS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
MVIS's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
MVIS PE Valuation
MVIS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MVIS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect MVIS's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.
MVIS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$5.11 | +$0.59 |
| Q2 2026 | -$5.41 | +$0.59 |
| Q1 2026 | -$4.65 | +$2.10 |
| Q4 2025 | -$5.25 | +$1.65 |
| Q3 2025 | -$5.70 | +$0.45 |
| Q2 2025 | -$6.00 | +$0.90 |
| Q1 2025 | -$6.75 | +$0.30 |
| Q4 2024 | -$6.90 | -$0.15 |
MVIS has the edge over AAOI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over MVIS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI has the edge over MVIS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MVIS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.4M | +896% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5M | +850% |
| Q1 2026 | $935K | +59% |
| Q4 2025 | $223K | -86% |
| Q3 2025 | $241K | +27% |
| Q2 2025 | $155K | -92% |
| Q1 2025 | $589K | -38% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7M | -68% |
MVIS's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $2M last quarter, up 896% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -889% | +4389 points |
| Q2 2026 | -1644% | +7812 points |
| Q1 2026 | -2513% | -129 points |
| Q4 2025 | -18570% | -17450 points |
| Q3 2025 | -5278% | +2988 points |
| Q2 2025 | -9455% | -8159 points |
| Q1 2025 | -2384% | +410 points |
| Q4 2024 | -1120% | -730 points |
MVIS's operating margin was −889% last quarter, up 4389 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
MVIS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$15M | +$1.6M |
| Q2 2026 | -$19.5M | -$6.5M |
| Q1 2026 | -$16.6M | -$2.4M |
| Q4 2025 | -$15.6M | -$490K |
| Q3 2025 | -$16.6M | -$2.5M |
| Q2 2025 | -$12.9M | +$5.9M |
| Q1 2025 | -$14.2M | +$6.7M |
| Q4 2024 | -$15.2M | +$1.4M |
MVIS has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has the edge over MVIS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
MVIS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +23% | +5.1M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +7.7M shares |
| 3 years | +118% | +14.8M shares |
| 5 years | +223% | +18.9M shares |
MVIS has 27M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
MVIS Net Leverage
MVIS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
MVIS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 26.2 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 3.2 | Oversold |
MVIS's weekly RSI is 26 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 3 (oversold).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MVIS PE vs Technology Sector
MVIS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has the edge over MVIS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MVIS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $1.27 | 14% below |
| 20 week MA | $2.39 | 54% below |
| 50 week MA | $7.15 | 85% below |
| 100 week MA | $12.8 | 91% below |
| 200 week MA | $22.4 | 95% below |
MVIS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 95% below its 200-week average.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over MVIS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
MVIS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.1 | $98.3 | +785% |
| 2021 | $98.3 | $88.7 | -9.8% |
| 2022 | $88.7 | $34.1 | -62% |
| 2023 | $34.1 | $39.9 | +17% |
| 2024 | $39.9 | $22.7 | -43% |
| 2025 | $22.7 | $13.7 | -40% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.7 | $1.09 | -92% |
MVIS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +785% in 2020 to −62% in 2022. It's down 92% so far in 2026.