AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve, though they disagree widely on how much.

MSTR

Strategy Inc

There isn't enough reported data to score MSTR yet.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MSTR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Weak
Under pressure
Strong

MSTR's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

MSTR PE Valuation

MSTR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MSTR Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for MSTR to show an outlook.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and MSTR's risk to reward.

MSTR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $114.41 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and MSTR's risk to reward.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98โ€”
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI has the edge over MSTR on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSTR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.64Q1 2024: $-0.85Q2 2024: $-1.57Q3 2024: $-2.28Q4 2024: $-6.06Q1 2025: $-22.24Q2 2025: $10.93Q3 2025: $21.07Q4 2025: $-15.23Q1 2026: $-36.99Q2 2026: $-94.04Q3 2026: $-57.71
Q4 2023: $2.64Q1 2024: $-0.85Q2 2024: $-1.57Q3 2024: $-2.28Q4 2024: $-6.06Q1 2025: $-22.24Q2 2025: $10.93Q3 2025: $21.07Q4 2025: $-15.23Q1 2026: $-36.99Q2 2026: $-94.04Q3 2026: $-57.71
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$57.71-374%
Q2 2026-$94.04-960%
Q1 2026-$36.99-$14.75
Q4 2025-$15.23-$9.17
Q3 2025$21.07+$23.35
Q2 2025$10.93+$12.50
Q1 2025-$22.24-$21.39
Q4 2024-$6.06-330%

MSTR has swung to a loss: it lost $57.71 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over MSTR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSTR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $124MQ1 2024: $115MQ2 2024: $111MQ3 2024: $116MQ4 2024: $121MQ1 2025: $111MQ2 2025: $114MQ3 2025: $129MQ4 2025: $123MQ1 2026: $124MQ2 2026: $122MQ3 2026: $125M
Q4 2023: $124MQ1 2024: $115MQ2 2024: $111MQ3 2024: $116MQ4 2024: $121MQ1 2025: $111MQ2 2025: $114MQ3 2025: $129MQ4 2025: $123MQ1 2026: $124MQ2 2026: $122MQ3 2026: $125M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$125.4M-2.5%
Q2 2026$122.4M+6.9%
Q1 2026$124.3M+12%
Q4 2025$123M+1.9%
Q3 2025$128.7M+11%
Q2 2025$114.5M+2.7%
Q1 2025$111.1M-3.6%
Q4 2024$120.7M-3%

MSTR's revenue has picked up after five years of holding roughly level: $125M last quarter, down 2.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: โˆ’$34MQ2 2024: โˆ’$5MQ3 2024: โˆ’$21MQ4 2024: โˆ’$53MQ1 2025: โˆ’$79MQ2 2025: โˆ’$91MQ3 2025: โˆ’$79MQ4 2025: โˆ’$105MQ1 2026: โˆ’$144MQ2 2026: โˆ’$265MQ3 2026: โˆ’$370M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: โˆ’$34MQ2 2024: โˆ’$5MQ3 2024: โˆ’$21MQ4 2024: โˆ’$53MQ1 2025: โˆ’$79MQ2 2025: โˆ’$91MQ3 2025: โˆ’$79MQ4 2025: โˆ’$105MQ1 2026: โˆ’$144MQ2 2026: โˆ’$265MQ3 2026: โˆ’$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$883M over the past year, against โˆ’$302M the year before.

MSTR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $837,000Q1 2024: $27MQ2 2024: โˆ’$24MQ3 2024: โˆ’$41MQ4 2024: โˆ’$18MQ1 2025: โˆ’$5MQ2 2025: โˆ’$37MQ3 2025: โˆ’$11MQ4 2025: โˆ’$22MQ1 2026: $13MQ2 2026: โˆ’$6MQ3 2026: $4M
Q4 2023: $837,000Q1 2024: $27MQ2 2024: โˆ’$24MQ3 2024: โˆ’$41MQ4 2024: โˆ’$18MQ1 2025: โˆ’$5MQ2 2025: โˆ’$37MQ3 2025: โˆ’$11MQ4 2025: โˆ’$22MQ1 2026: $13MQ2 2026: โˆ’$6MQ3 2026: $4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4M+$15.1M
Q2 2026-$5.9M+$31.1M
Q1 2026$13M+$18.2M
Q4 2025-$22.2M-$4.6M
Q3 2025-$11.1M+$30.3M
Q2 2025-$37M-$13M
Q1 2025-$5.1M-119%
Q4 2024-$17.6M-2204%

MSTR has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

MSTR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 166MQ1 2024: 172MQ2 2024: 179MQ3 2024: 197MQ4 2024: 193MQ1 2025: 256MQ2 2025: 307MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 278MQ1 2026: 334MQ2 2026: 353MQ3 2026: 428M
Q4 2023: 166MQ1 2024: 172MQ2 2024: 179MQ3 2024: 197MQ4 2024: 193MQ1 2025: 256MQ2 2025: 307MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 278MQ1 2026: 334MQ2 2026: 353MQ3 2026: 428M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+21%+75.5M shares
1 year+36%+113M shares
3 years+201%+286M shares
5 years+328%+328M shares
Available history+314%+325M shares

MSTR has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MSTR Net Leverage

Q2 2025: 1.2xQ3 2025: 0.7x
Q2 2025: 1.2xQ3 2025: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20250.7xVery low
Q2 20251.2xHealthy
Q3 2020-5.2xNet Cash
Q2 2020-11.9xNet Cash
Q1 2020-17.1xNet Cash
Q4 2019-29.1xNet Cash

MSTR's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

MSTR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.4Neutral
Stochastic42.1Neutral

MSTR's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSTR PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSTRSector medianRelative
PEN/A28xโ€”

MSTR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has the edge over MSTR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MSTR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$141.219% below
20 week MA$123.67.4% below
50 week MA$138.117% below
100 week MA$235.952% below
200 week MA$168.232% below

MSTR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 32% below its 200-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over MSTR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MSTR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.5$32.3+123%
2021$32.3$59.7+85%
2022$59.7$16.3-73%
2023$16.3$63.2+288%
2024$63.2$330.0+422%
2025$330.0$158.8-52%
2026 YTD$158.8$114.4-28%

MSTR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +422% in 2024 to โˆ’73% in 2022. It's down 28% so far in 2026.

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