AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve, though they disagree widely on how much.

MSAI

MultiSensor AI Holdings, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score MSAI yet.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MSAI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Weak
Under pressure
Unavailable

MSAI's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

MSAI PE Valuation

MSAI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

AAOI has the edge over MSAI on the outlook, with more favorable earnings expectations.

MSAI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect MSAI's revenue to grow and its profitability to improve, with its earnings holding steady.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and MSAI's risk to reward.

MSAI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $3.39 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and MSAI's risk to reward.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98โ€”
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 112% for AAOI versus MSAI down 3,908%.

MSAI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-142.40Q1 2024: $-156.80Q2 2024: $-172.40Q3 2024: $-182.80
Q4 2023: $-142.40Q1 2024: $-156.80Q2 2024: $-172.40Q3 2024: $-182.80
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2024-$182.80-$178.00
Q2 2024-$172.40-$171.20
Q1 2024-$156.80-9900%
Q4 2023-$142.40-$142.40
Q3 2023-$4.80-$3.30
Q2 2023-$1.20+$0.70
Q1 2023$1.60+$3.10

MSAI lost $182.80 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last six quarters.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over MSAI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSAI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: $1MQ1 2025: $1MQ2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $2M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: $1MQ1 2025: $1MQ2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $2M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.5M-4.4%
Q2 2026$1.7M+19%
Q1 2026$1.6M+38%
Q4 2025$1.4M-0.9%
Q3 2025$1.6M-1.7%
Q2 2025$1.4M-33%
Q1 2025$1.2M-49%

MSAI's revenue is growing: $2M last quarter, down 4.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: โˆ’$34MQ2 2024: โˆ’$5MQ3 2024: โˆ’$21MQ4 2024: โˆ’$53MQ1 2025: โˆ’$79MQ2 2025: โˆ’$91MQ3 2025: โˆ’$79MQ4 2025: โˆ’$105MQ1 2026: โˆ’$144MQ2 2026: โˆ’$265MQ3 2026: โˆ’$370M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: โˆ’$34MQ2 2024: โˆ’$5MQ3 2024: โˆ’$21MQ4 2024: โˆ’$53MQ1 2025: โˆ’$79MQ2 2025: โˆ’$91MQ3 2025: โˆ’$79MQ4 2025: โˆ’$105MQ1 2026: โˆ’$144MQ2 2026: โˆ’$265MQ3 2026: โˆ’$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$883M over the past year, against โˆ’$302M the year before.

MSAI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: โˆ’$79,000Q2 2024: โˆ’$844,000Q3 2024: โˆ’$13MQ4 2024: โˆ’$4MQ1 2025: โˆ’$4MQ2 2025: โˆ’$1MQ3 2025: โˆ’$2MQ4 2025: โˆ’$3MQ1 2026: โˆ’$2MQ2 2026: โˆ’$3MQ3 2026: โˆ’$603,000
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: โˆ’$79,000Q2 2024: โˆ’$844,000Q3 2024: โˆ’$13MQ4 2024: โˆ’$4MQ1 2025: โˆ’$4MQ2 2025: โˆ’$1MQ3 2025: โˆ’$2MQ4 2025: โˆ’$3MQ1 2026: โˆ’$2MQ2 2026: โˆ’$3MQ3 2026: โˆ’$603,000
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$603K+$1.5M
Q2 2026-$2.6M-$1.3M
Q1 2026-$1.8M+$1.8M
Q4 2025-$2.6M+$1.5M
Q3 2025-$2.1M+$11M
Q2 2025-$1.3M-$454K
Q1 2025-$3.6M-$3.5M
Q3 2024-$13.2M-$13M

MSAI has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has the edge over MSAI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSAI Total Shares

Q1 2024: 299,173Q2 2024: 342,042Q3 2024: 606,705Q1 2025: 818,141Q2 2025: 838,785Q3 2025: 862,380Q1 2026: 2MQ2 2026: 2MQ3 2026: 2M
Q1 2024: 299,173Q2 2024: 342,042Q3 2024: 606,705Q1 2025: 818,141Q2 2025: 838,785Q3 2025: 862,380Q1 2026: 2MQ2 2026: 2MQ3 2026: 2M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+6.6%+136K shares
1 year+163%+1.4M shares
3 years+486%+1.8M shares

MSAI has 2M diluted shares, up 163% from a year ago.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MSAI Net Leverage

MSAI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

MSAI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.8Neutral
Stochastic8.3Oversold

MSAI's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSAI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSAISector medianRelative
PEN/A28xโ€”

MSAI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has the edge over MSAI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MSAI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.9514% below
20 week MA$4.6427% below
50 week MA$8.0658% below
100 week MA$23.886% below
200 week MA$138.198% below

MSAI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 98% below its 200-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over MSAI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MSAI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$394.8$393.6-0.3%
2022$393.6$406.8+3.4%
2023$406.8$134.0-67%
2024$134.0$78.8-41%
2025$78.8$17.4-78%
2026 YTD$17.4$3.39-81%

MSAI has finished three years in a row lower, and it's down 81% so far in 2026.

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