AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI has a slight edge over MRAM overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
MRAM
Everspin Technologies, Inc.
MRAM has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
MRAM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
MRAM's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
MRAM PE Valuation
MRAM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 105x next year's earnings.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MRAM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect MRAM to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI has the edge over MRAM in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.
MRAM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.12 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.40 | -$0.39 |
MRAM lost $0.40 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over MRAM on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI has the edge over MRAM on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MRAM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.6M | +47% |
| Q2 2026 | $18.7M | +42% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.9M | +13% |
| Q4 2025 | $14.8M | +12% |
MRAM's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2025: $21M last quarter, up 47% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -23% | -8.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | -18% | -3.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -7.2% | +4.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | -11% | N/A |
| Q2 2025 | -15% | N/A |
| Q1 2025 | -15% | N/A |
| Q4 2024 | -12% | N/A |
MRAM's operating margin was −23% last quarter, down 8.5 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2024.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
MRAM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$1.2M | -138% |
| Q1 2026 | -$3.8M | -818% |
| Q4 2025 | -$975K | -147% |
MRAM and AAOI do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
MRAM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.2% | +745K shares |
| 1 year | +6.1% | +1.4M shares |
MRAM has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
MRAM Net Leverage
MRAM's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
MRAM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.9 | Oversold |
MRAM's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MRAM PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MRAM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
MRAM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.
MRAM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $14.7 | 12% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.8 | 18% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.7 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.2 | 16% above |
| 200 week MA | $9.38 | 38% above |
MRAM has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over MRAM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
MRAM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $5.38 | $4.64 | -14% |
| 2021 | $4.64 | $11.1 | +139% |
| 2022 | $11.1 | $5.27 | -53% |
| 2023 | $5.27 | $9.04 | +72% |
| 2024 | $9.04 | $6.57 | -27% |
| 2025 | $6.57 | $9.38 | +43% |
| 2026 YTD | $9.38 | $12.9 | +38% |
MRAM's yearly returns have swung widely, from +139% in 2021 to −53% in 2022. It's up 38% so far in 2026.