AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MPTI
M-tron Industries, Inc.
MPTI has a slight edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
MPTI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MPTI's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
MPTI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 18x | $50.58 | -25% |
| Fair | 22x | $62.00 | -8.7% |
| Current | 25x | $67.88 | — |
| Forward | 26x | $67.88 | — |
| Expensive | 29x | $80.61 | +19% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MPTI's PE is in its fair range at 25x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 26x.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
AAOI has the edge over MPTI on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
MPTI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Deteriorating | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MPTI, but weaker profitability.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.
MPTI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.62 | -5.1% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.76 | +16% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.67 | +4.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.76 | +4.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.63 | +0.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.38 | +23% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.55 | +49% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.65 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.62 | +113% |
MPTI has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over MPTI on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI's operating margin was −0.5% last quarter, up 15 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
MPTI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $15.7M | +11% |
| Q2 2026 | $15.1M | +14% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $14.2M | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.2M | +7.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.3M | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.7M | +14% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.8M | +19% |
MPTI's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2022: $16M last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 16% | -2.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 11% | -2.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | +2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 27% | +7.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 18% | -4.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 16% | -0.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 20% | +21 points |
MPTI has the edge over AAOI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
MPTI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4M | -49% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.8M | +35% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.7M | +63% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.3M | +68% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.7M | +53% |
| Q2 2025 | $2M | +88% |
| Q1 2025 | $1M | -26% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.4M | -1.9% |
MPTI has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has the edge over MPTI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
MPTI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +10.2K shares |
| 1 year | +45% | +1.3M shares |
| 3 years | +53% | +1.5M shares |
| 5 years | -19% | -1M shares |
MPTI has 4M diluted shares, up 45% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
MPTI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -8.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -8.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -4.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
MPTI has more cash than debt.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
MPTI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 44.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 17.0 | Oversold |
MPTI's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 17 (oversold).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MPTI PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MPTI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25x | 28x | 12% below |
| PE % | 57 | 41 | 16 pts above |
MPTI is trading at 25x earnings, a 12% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.
MPTI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $68.5 | 0.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $76.5 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $72.1 | 5.9% below |
| 100 week MA | $60.1 | 13% above |
| 200 week MA | $44.0 | 54% above |
MPTI has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over MPTI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
MPTI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $15.2 | $9.08 | -40% |
| 2023 | $9.08 | $35.7 | +293% |
| 2024 | $35.7 | $50.6 | +42% |
| 2025 | $50.6 | $51.2 | +1.1% |
| 2026 YTD | $51.2 | $67.9 | +33% |
MPTI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +293% in 2023 to −40% in 2022. It's up 33% so far in 2026.