AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MLAB

Mesa Laboratories, Inc.

75
Fundamentals70/ 100
Valuation84/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

MLAB has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MLAB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Healthy

MLAB's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

MLAB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE229x457x686x915x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE229x457x686x915x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$135—
Current118x$135—
Cheap142x$163+20%
Fair301x$346+156%
Expensive570x$656+385%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MLAB's PE is in its cheap range at 118x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

AAOI has the edge over MLAB on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

MLAB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect MLAB's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MLAB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MLAB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+50%$203.04
Downside-24%$102.78

Calculated from the latest close: $135.20 on Nov 12.

MLAB trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

MLAB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.18Q1 2024: $-47.20Q2 2024: $-46.48Q3 2024: $-45.62Q4 2024: $-46.32Q1 2025: $-0.36Q2 2025: $-0.13Q3 2025: $-0.31Q4 2025: $0.65Q1 2026: $1.21Q2 2026: $0.85Q3 2026: $1.15Forward: $11.01
Q4 2023: $0.18Q1 2024: $-47.20Q2 2024: $-46.48Q3 2024: $-45.62Q4 2024: $-46.32Q1 2025: $-0.36Q2 2025: $-0.13Q3 2025: $-0.31Q4 2025: $0.65Q1 2026: $1.21Q2 2026: $0.85Q3 2026: $1.15Forward: $11.01
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$11.01+858%
Q3 2026$1.15+$1.46
Q2 2026$0.85+$0.98
Q1 2026$1.21+$1.57
Q4 2025$0.65+$46.97
Q3 2025-$0.31+$45.31
Q2 2025-$0.13+$46.35
Q1 2025-$0.36+$46.84
Q4 2024-$46.32-25833%

MLAB has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over MLAB on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MLAB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $53MQ1 2024: $59MQ2 2024: $58MQ3 2024: $58MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: $62MQ2 2025: $60MQ3 2025: $61MQ4 2025: $65MQ1 2026: $64MQ2 2026: $60MQ3 2026: $62M
Q4 2023: $53MQ1 2024: $59MQ2 2024: $58MQ3 2024: $58MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: $62MQ2 2025: $60MQ3 2025: $61MQ4 2025: $65MQ1 2026: $64MQ2 2026: $60MQ3 2026: $62M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$62.3M+2.6%
Q2 2026$60.1M+1%
Q1 2026$63.7M+2.6%
Q4 2025$65.1M+3.6%
Q3 2025$60.7M+5%
Q2 2025$59.5M+2.4%
Q1 2025$62.1M+5.5%
Q4 2024$62.8M+18%

MLAB's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $62M last quarter, up 2.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

MLAB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $10MQ3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: $18MQ1 2025: $12MQ2 2025: $884,000Q3 2025: $7MQ4 2025: $18MQ1 2026: $14MQ2 2026: $14MQ3 2026: $4M
Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $10MQ3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: $18MQ1 2025: $12MQ2 2025: $884,000Q3 2025: $7MQ4 2025: $18MQ1 2026: $14MQ2 2026: $14MQ3 2026: $4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7M-48%
Q2 2026$14.2M+1504%
Q1 2026$13.5M+14%
Q4 2025$18M+2.2%
Q3 2025$7.1M+105%
Q2 2025$884K-91%
Q1 2025$11.9M-3.6%
Q4 2024$17.6M+69%

MLAB has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

MLAB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 5MQ1 2024: 5MQ2 2024: 5MQ3 2024: 5MQ4 2024: 5MQ1 2025: 5MQ2 2025: 6MQ3 2025: 6MQ4 2025: 6MQ1 2026: 6MQ2 2026: 6MQ3 2026: 6M
Q4 2023: 5MQ1 2024: 5MQ2 2024: 5MQ3 2024: 5MQ4 2024: 5MQ1 2025: 5MQ2 2025: 6MQ3 2025: 6MQ4 2025: 6MQ1 2026: 6MQ2 2026: 6MQ3 2026: 6M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+3K shares
1 year+4.1%+225K shares
3 years+6.9%+373K shares
5 years+7.8%+416K shares
Available history+32%+1.4M shares

MLAB has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MLAB Net Leverage

Q1 2025: 1.1xQ2 2025: 1.3xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 0.9xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.4x
Q1 2025: 1.1xQ2 2025: 1.3xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 0.9xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.4xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.7xHealthy
Q4 20250.9xVery low
Q3 20251.2xHealthy
Q2 20251.3xHealthy
Q1 20251.1xHealthy
Q3 2023-1.0xNet Cash

MLAB's net debt is about 1.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.2 years a year ago.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

MLAB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.7Neutral
Stochastic72.9Neutral

MLAB's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MLAB PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMLABSector medianRelative
PE118x28x322% above
PE %123523 pts below

MLAB is trading at 118x earnings, a 322% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

MLAB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$129.64.4% above
20 week MA$118.614% above
50 week MA$102.232% above
100 week MA$101.933% above
200 week MA$112.820% above

MLAB has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +891% in 2023 to −65% in 2022. It's up 42% so far in 2026.

MLAB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$247.3$284.8+15%
2021$284.8$328.9+15%
2022$328.9$162.8-50%
2023$162.8$104.8-36%
2024$104.8$133.1+27%
2025$133.1$80.5-40%
2026 YTD$80.5$135.2+68%

MLAB has the edge over AAOI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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