AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI has a slight edge over MEI overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

MEI

Methode Electronics, Inc.

58
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

MEI has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MEI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure

MEI's revenue is currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

MEI PE Valuation

MEI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MEI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect MEI's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MEI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MEI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+84%$22.91
Downside-46%$6.76

Calculated from the latest close: $12.43 on Nov 12.

MEI trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

MEI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.76Q1 2024: $-1.63Q2 2024: $-3.48Q3 2024: $-4.02Q4 2024: $-2.52Q1 2025: $-2.60Q2 2025: $-1.77Q3 2025: $-1.54Q4 2025: $-1.77Q1 2026: $-1.81Q2 2026: $-1.01Q3 2026: $-1.04
Q4 2023: $-0.76Q1 2024: $-1.63Q2 2024: $-3.48Q3 2024: $-4.02Q4 2024: $-2.52Q1 2025: $-2.60Q2 2025: $-1.77Q3 2025: $-1.54Q4 2025: $-1.77Q1 2026: $-1.81Q2 2026: $-1.01Q3 2026: $-1.04
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.04+$0.50
Q2 2026-$1.01+$0.76
Q1 2026-$1.81+$0.79
Q4 2025-$1.77+$0.75
Q3 2025-$1.54+$2.48
Q2 2025-$1.77+$1.71
Q1 2025-$2.60-$0.97
Q4 2024-$2.52-$1.76

MEI has the edge over AAOI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over MEI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MEI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $288MQ1 2024: $260MQ2 2024: $277MQ3 2024: $259MQ4 2024: $293MQ1 2025: $240MQ2 2025: $257MQ3 2025: $241MQ4 2025: $247MQ1 2026: $234MQ2 2026: $298MQ3 2026: $265M
Q4 2023: $288MQ1 2024: $260MQ2 2024: $277MQ3 2024: $259MQ4 2024: $293MQ1 2025: $240MQ2 2025: $257MQ3 2025: $241MQ4 2025: $247MQ1 2026: $234MQ2 2026: $298MQ3 2026: $265M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$265.4M+10%
Q2 2026$298.1M+16%
Q1 2026$233.7M-2.6%
Q4 2025$246.9M-16%
Q3 2025$240.5M-7%
Q2 2025$257.1M-7.3%
Q1 2025$239.9M-7.6%
Q4 2024$292.6M+1.6%

MEI's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $265M last quarter, up 10% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

MEI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$11MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: −$3MQ4 2024: −$58MQ1 2025: $20MQ2 2025: $26MQ3 2025: $18MQ4 2025: −$12MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: −$900,000Q3 2026: −$11M
Q4 2023: −$11MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: −$3MQ4 2024: −$58MQ1 2025: $20MQ2 2025: $26MQ3 2025: $18MQ4 2025: −$12MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: −$900,000Q3 2026: −$11M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$10.9M-161%
Q2 2026-$900K-103%
Q1 2026$10.1M-48%
Q4 2025-$11.6M+$46.8M
Q3 2025$18M+$20.7M
Q2 2025$26.3M+66%
Q1 2025$19.6M+61%
Q4 2024-$58.4M-$47.1M

MEI has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

MEI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 36MQ1 2024: 35MQ2 2024: 35MQ3 2024: 35MQ4 2024: 35MQ1 2025: 35MQ2 2025: 35MQ3 2025: 35MQ4 2025: 35MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 36MQ3 2026: 36M
Q4 2023: 36MQ1 2024: 35MQ2 2024: 35MQ3 2024: 35MQ4 2024: 35MQ1 2025: 35MQ2 2025: 35MQ3 2025: 35MQ4 2025: 35MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 36MQ3 2026: 36M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+152K shares
1 year+0.9%+301K shares
3 years-1.7%-608K shares
5 years-7.2%-2.8M shares
Available history-5.5%-2.1M shares

MEI has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MEI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.0xQ1 2024: 14.9xQ2 2025: 6.2xQ3 2025: 4.6xQ4 2025: 5.6xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 2.7xQ3 2026: 3.1x
Q4 2023: 5.0xQ1 2024: 14.9xQ2 2025: 6.2xQ3 2025: 4.6xQ4 2025: 5.6xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 2.7xQ3 2026: 3.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.1xElevated
Q2 20262.7xModerate
Q1 20266.0xHigh
Q4 20255.6xHigh
Q3 20254.6xHigh
Q2 20256.2xHigh
Q1 202414.9xHigh
Q4 20235.0xHigh

MEI's net debt is about 3.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.6 years a year ago.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

MEI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.1Neutral
Stochastic24.6Neutral

MEI's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 25 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MEI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMEISector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

MEI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

MEI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.68.9% below
20 week MA$14.716% below
50 week MA$11.112% above
100 week MA$9.6129% above
200 week MA$16.726% below

MEI has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +891% in 2023 to −65% in 2022. It's up 42% so far in 2026.

MEI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$39.2$37.7-3.7%
2021$37.7$47.4+26%
2022$47.4$44.3-6.7%
2023$44.3$22.7-49%
2024$22.7$12.2-46%
2025$12.2$6.76-45%
2026 YTD$6.76$12.4+84%

MEI has the edge over AAOI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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