AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

LTRX

Lantronix, Inc.

64
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential36/ 100

LTRX has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LTRX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Unavailable

LTRX's revenue is currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

LTRX PE Valuation

LTRX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LTRX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for LTRX, with profitability improving.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LTRX, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LTRX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+57%$7.02
Downside-35%$2.89

Calculated from the latest close: $4.48 on Nov 12.

LTRX trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

LTRX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.25Q1 2024: $-0.18Q2 2024: $-0.12Q3 2024: $-0.14Q4 2024: $-0.13Q1 2025: $-0.22Q2 2025: $-0.29Q3 2025: $-0.26Q4 2025: $-0.23Q1 2026: $-0.16Q2 2026: $-0.10Q3 2026: $-0.07Forward: $0.24
Q4 2023: $-0.25Q1 2024: $-0.18Q2 2024: $-0.12Q3 2024: $-0.14Q4 2024: $-0.13Q1 2025: $-0.22Q2 2025: $-0.29Q3 2025: $-0.26Q4 2025: $-0.23Q1 2026: $-0.16Q2 2026: $-0.10Q3 2026: $-0.07Forward: $0.24
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.24—
Q3 2026-$0.07+$0.19
Q2 2026-$0.10+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.16+$0.06
Q4 2025-$0.23-$0.10
Q3 2025-$0.26-$0.12
Q2 2025-$0.29-$0.17
Q1 2025-$0.22-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.13+$0.12

LTRX is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.07 per share over the past year, against $0.43 at its worst in early 2020.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over LTRX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LTRX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $37MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $34MQ4 2024: $31MQ1 2025: $29MQ2 2025: $29MQ3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: $30MQ1 2026: $30MQ2 2026: $31MQ3 2026: $32M
Q4 2023: $37MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $34MQ4 2024: $31MQ1 2025: $29MQ2 2025: $29MQ3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: $30MQ1 2026: $30MQ2 2026: $31MQ3 2026: $32M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$32.4M+8.6%
Q2 2026$31.2M+8%
Q1 2026$30.2M+5.9%
Q4 2025$29.8M-4.5%
Q3 2025$29.8M-13%
Q2 2025$28.8M-41%
Q1 2025$28.5M-31%
Q4 2024$31.2M-16%

LTRX's revenue is recovering but still below its 2024 peak: $32M last quarter, up 8.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

LTRX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: $256,000Q1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $909,000Q3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: −$3M
Q4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: $256,000Q1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $909,000Q3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: −$3M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$2.6M-174%
Q2 2026$1.7M+89%
Q1 2026$1.9M-38%
Q4 2025$2.1M+715%
Q3 2025$3.5M+41%
Q2 2025$909K-57%
Q1 2025$3.1M-34%
Q4 2024$256K-92%

LTRX has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

LTRX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 37MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 37MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 39MQ1 2025: 39MQ2 2025: 39MQ3 2025: 39MQ4 2025: 39MQ1 2026: 40MQ2 2026: 40MQ3 2026: 47M
Q4 2023: 37MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 37MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 39MQ1 2025: 39MQ2 2025: 39MQ3 2025: 39MQ4 2025: 39MQ1 2026: 40MQ2 2026: 40MQ3 2026: 47M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+16%+6.6M shares
1 year+19%+7.6M shares
3 years+26%+9.8M shares
5 years+63%+18M shares
Available history+102%+23.6M shares

LTRX has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LTRX Net Leverage

LTRX's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

LTRX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.3Neutral
Stochastic19.0Oversold

LTRX's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LTRX PE vs Technology Sector

LTRX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has the edge over LTRX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LTRX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.0125% below
20 week MA$5.7622% below
50 week MA$6.0125% below
100 week MA$4.725.1% below
200 week MA$4.490.2% below

LTRX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.2% below its 200-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over LTRX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LTRX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$3.53$4.71+33%
2021$4.71$7.57+61%
2022$7.57$4.15-45%
2023$4.15$5.86+41%
2024$5.86$4.10-30%
2025$4.10$5.80+41%
2026 YTD$5.80$4.48-23%

LTRX has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 23% so far in 2026.

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