AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
LSCC
Lattice Semiconductor Corporation
LSCC has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
LSCC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
LSCC's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
LSCC PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 30x | $119 | — |
| Cheap | 51x | $16.27 | -86% |
| Fair | 88x | $28.12 | -76% |
| Expensive | 288x | $92.09 | -23% |
| Current | 371x | $119 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
LSCC's PE is in its expensive range at 371x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
LSCC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LSCC, with profitability improving.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.
LSCC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.00 | +1150% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.32 | +60% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.26 | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.14 | -62% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.02 | -95% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.20 | -81% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.23 | -83% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.37 | -76% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.44 | -76% |
LSCC has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over LSCC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI's operating margin was −0.5% last quarter, up 15 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
LSCC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $291M | +118% |
| Q2 2026 | $201.1M | +62% |
| Q1 2026 | $170.9M | +42% |
| Q4 2025 | $145.8M | +24% |
| Q3 2025 | $133.3M | +4.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $124M | -0.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $120.2M | -15% |
| Q4 2024 | $117.4M | -31% |
LSCC's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $291M last quarter, up 118% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +9.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 11% | +7.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 15% | +9.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 0.7% | +11 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1.1% | -7.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 3.8% | -14 points |
| Q1 2025 | 5.8% | -6 points |
| Q4 2024 | -10% | -36 points |
LSCC has the edge over AAOI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
LSCC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $77.6M | +128% |
| Q2 2026 | $81.3M | +160% |
| Q1 2026 | $39.7M | +71% |
| Q4 2025 | $44M | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $34M | -14% |
| Q2 2025 | $31.3M | +112% |
| Q1 2025 | $23.3M | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $39.7M | -42% |
LSCC has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
LSCC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.5% | +3.5M shares |
| 1 year | +4.1% | +5.7M shares |
| 3 years | +2.8% | +3.9M shares |
| 5 years | +1.5% | +2.1M shares |
| Available history | +4.7% | +6.5M shares |
LSCC has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $15M |
| Q4 2025 | $14.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $15M |
| Q2 2025 | $45.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $25M |
| Q4 2024 | $20M |
LSCC spent $29M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 72% from the year before.
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
LSCC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2019 | 0.3x | Very low |
LSCC's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
LSCC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 51.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 32.0 | Neutral |
LSCC's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 32 (neutral).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LSCC PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | LSCC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 371x | 28x | 1,233% above |
| PE % | 87 | 35 | 52 pts above |
LSCC is trading at 371x earnings, a 1233% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.
LSCC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $113.1 | 5.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $119.8 | 0.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $110.3 | 7.8% above |
| 100 week MA | $84.3 | 41% above |
| 200 week MA | $77.9 | 53% above |
LSCC has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +891% in 2023 to −65% in 2022. It's up 42% so far in 2026.
LSCC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $19.2 | $43.8 | +128% |
| 2021 | $43.8 | $75.7 | +73% |
| 2022 | $75.7 | $66.3 | -12% |
| 2023 | $66.3 | $69.0 | +4% |
| 2024 | $69.0 | $59.0 | -15% |
| 2025 | $59.0 | $76.2 | +29% |
| 2026 YTD | $76.2 | $118.9 | +56% |
LSCC has the edge over AAOI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.