AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI has the edge over LSAK overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.
LSAK
Lesaka Technologies, Inc.
LSAK has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
LSAK Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Stable |
LSAK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its cash flow and balance sheet are stable.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
LSAK PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 111x | $3.32 | — |
| Cheap | 125x | $3.75 | +13% |
| Fair | 140x | $4.19 | +26% |
| Expensive | 146x | $4.39 | +32% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
LSAK's PE is 111x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
LSAK Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for LSAK to show an outlook.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.
LSAK Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $0.03 | +$1.15 |
| Q2 2026 | $0.03 | +$1.17 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.40 | +$0.42 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.68 | -$0.07 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.12 | -$0.87 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.14 | -$0.87 |
| Q3 2022 | -$0.69 | -$0.30 |
| Q2 2022 | -$0.75 | -$0.08 |
LSAK has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over LSAK on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI's operating margin was −0.5% last quarter, up 15 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
LSAK Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $184.6M | +7.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $188.3M | +12% |
| Q1 2026 | $183.1M | +13% |
| Q4 2025 | $178.7M | +1.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $171.4M | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $168.5M | +15% |
| Q1 2025 | $161.5M | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $176.2M | +22% |
LSAK's revenue has grown year over year for 19 quarters in a row: $185M last quarter, up 7.7% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.6% | -0.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 3.4% | +20 points |
| Q1 2026 | 2.2% | +1.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 1.2% | +0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 0.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | -17% | -17 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3% | -0.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 0.4% | -1.1 points |
LSAK's operating margin was −0.6% last quarter, down 0.8 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
LSAK Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$15M | -404% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.5M | +$18.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $34.2M | +336% |
| Q4 2025 | -$14.8M | +$646K |
| Q3 2025 | $4.9M | +$13M |
| Q2 2025 | -$10.6M | -1229% |
| Q1 2025 | $7.8M | -52% |
| Q4 2024 | -$15.5M | -$13.9M |
LSAK has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
LSAK Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +198K shares |
| 1 year | +1.7% | +1.3M shares |
| 3 years | +39% | +22.5M shares |
LSAK has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $186,000 |
| Q2 2026 | $28,000 |
| Q1 2026 | $40,000 |
| Q4 2025 | $271,000 |
| Q2 2025 | $1M |
| Q1 2025 | $27,000 |
| Q4 2024 | $12.6M |
| Q2 2024 | $1.3M |
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
LSAK Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 4.3x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 7.2x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 10.0x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 18.8x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 4.0x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 3.1x | Elevated |
LSAK's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 10 years a year ago.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
LSAK Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 27.8 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 5.2 | Oversold |
LSAK's weekly RSI is 28 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LSAK PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has the edge over LSAK on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
LSAK Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $4.07 | 18% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.40 | 25% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.58 | 28% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.56 | 27% below |
| 200 week MA | $4.39 | 24% below |
LSAK is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 24% below its 200-week average.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over LSAK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
LSAK Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $3.74 | $4.74 | +27% |
| 2021 | $4.74 | $5.41 | +14% |
| 2022 | $5.41 | $3.79 | -30% |
| 2023 | $3.79 | $3.24 | -15% |
| 2024 | $3.24 | $5.25 | +62% |
| 2025 | $5.25 | $4.36 | -17% |
| 2026 YTD | $4.36 | $3.32 | -24% |
LSAK has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 24% so far in 2026.