AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI has the edge over LPTH overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.
LPTH
LightPath Technologies, Inc.
LPTH has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
LPTH Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Strong |
LPTH's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
LPTH PE Valuation
LPTH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
LPTH Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect LPTH's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 112% for AAOI versus LPTH down 257%.
LPTH Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2024 | -$0.23 | -$0.09 |
| Q3 2024 | -$0.21 | -$0.09 |
| Q2 2024 | -$0.21 | -$0.08 |
| Q1 2024 | -$0.18 | -$0.02 |
| Q4 2023 | -$0.14 | +$0.01 |
| Q3 2023 | -$0.12 | +$0.04 |
| Q2 2023 | -$0.13 | $0.00 |
| Q1 2023 | -$0.16 | +$0.02 |
LPTH lost $0.33 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over LPTH on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI has the edge over LPTH on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
LPTH Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.8M | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $21.2M | +73% |
| Q1 2026 | $19.1M | +109% |
| Q4 2025 | $16.4M | +120% |
| Q3 2025 | $15.1M | +79% |
| Q2 2025 | $12.2M | +41% |
| Q1 2025 | $9.2M | +19% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.4M | +1.5% |
LPTH's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $21M last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -10% | +6.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | -20% | +18 points |
| Q1 2026 | -22% | +14 points |
| Q4 2025 | -53% | -19 points |
| Q3 2025 | -17% | -0.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | -38% | -12 points |
| Q1 2025 | -36% | -2.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | -33% | -9.1 points |
LPTH's operating margin was −10% last quarter, up 6.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
LPTH Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$10.9M | -$9.6M |
| Q2 2026 | -$9.5M | -$6.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$7.7M | -$4M |
| Q4 2025 | $2M | +$2.8M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.2M | +$560.1K |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.3M | -$3.1M |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.7M | -$2.9M |
| Q4 2024 | -$817.8K | +$981 |
LPTH has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has the edge over LPTH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
LPTH Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +19% | +11.4M shares |
| 1 year | +71% | +29.1M shares |
| 3 years | +99% | +34.9M shares |
| 5 years | +166% | +43.6M shares |
| Available history | +156% | +42.6M shares |
LPTH has 70M diluted shares, up 71% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
LPTH Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | -3.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2022 | -20.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2022 | -2.3x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2021 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2021 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2021 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2020 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2020 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
LPTH has more cash than debt.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
LPTH Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 39.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 13.1 | Oversold |
LPTH's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LPTH PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | LPTH | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
LPTH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.
LPTH Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $8.51 | 15% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.4 | 31% below |
| 50 week MA | $11.4 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $7.72 | 6.6% below |
| 200 week MA | $4.60 | 57% above |
LPTH has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 57% above its 200-week average.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over LPTH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
LPTH Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $0.69 | $4.06 | +488% |
| 2021 | $4.06 | $2.31 | -43% |
| 2022 | $2.31 | $1.20 | -48% |
| 2023 | $1.20 | $1.26 | +5% |
| 2024 | $1.26 | $3.49 | +177% |
| 2025 | $3.49 | $9.02 | +158% |
| 2026 YTD | $9.02 | $7.21 | -20% |
LPTH's yearly returns have swung widely, from +488% in 2020 to −48% in 2022. It's down 20% so far in 2026.