AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI has the edge over LPL overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
LPL
LG Display Co., Ltd.
LPL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
LPL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure |
LPL's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
LPL PE Valuation
LPL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
AAOI has the edge over LPL on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
LPL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect LPL's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.
LPL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.43 | -$0.18 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.01 | -$0.51 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.06 | +$1.54 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.17 | +$2.34 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.25 | +$1.18 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.50 | +$1.36 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.60 | +$0.63 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.17 | +$0.77 |
LPL has the edge over AAOI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over LPL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI's operating margin was −0.5% last quarter, up 15 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
LPL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.7B | -9.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.2B | +0.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.1B | -8.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.4B | -8.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.2B | +2% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.2B | -17% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.5B | +15% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.9B | +5.9% |
LPL's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $4.7B last quarter, down 9.8% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4% | -2.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | -1.9% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 2.6% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +1.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 6.2% | +7.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | -2.1% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.6% | +9.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 1.1% | -0.7 points |
LPL has the edge over AAOI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
LPL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $517.7M | +$963.9M |
| Q1 2026 | -$547M | -432% |
| Q4 2025 | $582.1K | -100% |
| Q3 2025 | $173.9M | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | -$446.2M | -242% |
| Q1 2025 | $164.8M | +$1.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $873M | +$1B |
| Q3 2024 | $97.5M | -70% |
LPL has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
LPL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | 0% | -- |
| 3 years | +28% | +221M shares |
| 5 years | +25% | +202M shares |
| Available history | +40% | +284M shares |
LPL has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
LPL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 3.3x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.0x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 3.3x | Elevated |
| Q3 2024 | 3.0x | Elevated |
LPL's net debt is about 3.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.1 years a year ago.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
LPL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.2 | Oversold |
LPL's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LPL PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | LPL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
LPL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has the edge over LPL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
LPL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $2.74 | 6.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $3.08 | 17% below |
| 50 week MA | $3.87 | 34% below |
| 100 week MA | $3.80 | 32% below |
| 200 week MA | $4.27 | 40% below |
LPL is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 40% below its 200-week average.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over LPL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
LPL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $7.02 | $8.05 | +15% |
| 2021 | $8.05 | $9.64 | +20% |
| 2022 | $9.64 | $4.94 | -49% |
| 2023 | $4.94 | $4.82 | -2.4% |
| 2024 | $4.82 | $3.18 | -34% |
| 2025 | $3.18 | $4.22 | +33% |
| 2026 YTD | $4.22 | $2.57 | -39% |
LPL has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.