AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI has the edge over LGL overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

LGL

The LGL Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals44/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

LGL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LGL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Weak
Under pressure
Healthy

LGL's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

LGL PE Valuation

LGL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

AAOI has the edge over LGL on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

LGL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Decline
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect LGL's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LGL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LGL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$8.52
Downside-17%$5.78

Calculated from the latest close: $6.99 on Nov 12.

LGL trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

LGL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.05Q1 2024: $0.02Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $0.05Q4 2024: $0.07Q1 2025: $0.07Q2 2025: $0.04Q3 2025: $0.17Q4 2025: $0.13Q1 2026: $0.03Q2 2026: $-0.02Q3 2026: $-0.16Forward: $0.30
Q4 2023: $0.05Q1 2024: $0.02Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $0.05Q4 2024: $0.07Q1 2025: $0.07Q2 2025: $0.04Q3 2025: $0.17Q4 2025: $0.13Q1 2026: $0.03Q2 2026: $-0.02Q3 2026: $-0.16Forward: $0.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.30—
Q3 2026-$0.16-194%
Q2 2026-$0.02-150%
Q1 2026$0.03-57%
Q4 2025$0.13+86%
Q3 2025$0.17+240%
Q2 2025$0.04-33%
Q1 2025$0.07+250%
Q4 2024$0.07+40%

LGL has swung to a loss: it lost $0.16 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over LGL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LGL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $995,000Q1 2024: $888,000Q2 2024: $1MQ3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $1MQ1 2025: $918,000Q2 2025: $924,000Q3 2025: $1MQ4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: $1MQ2 2026: $1MQ3 2026: $1M
Q4 2023: $995,000Q1 2024: $888,000Q2 2024: $1MQ3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $1MQ1 2025: $918,000Q2 2025: $924,000Q3 2025: $1MQ4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: $1MQ2 2026: $1MQ3 2026: $1M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.5M+32%
Q2 2026$1.2M+25%
Q1 2026$1.1M+18%
Q4 2025$1.2M+5.4%
Q3 2025$1.1M-6%
Q2 2025$924K-13%
Q1 2025$918K+3.4%
Q4 2024$1.2M+16%

LGL's revenue is recovering but still below its 2019 peak: $1M last quarter, up 32% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

LGL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$69,000Q1 2024: $160,000Q2 2024: $203,000Q3 2024: $528,000Q4 2024: −$17,000Q1 2025: $340,000Q2 2025: −$190,000Q3 2025: $275,000Q4 2025: −$355,000Q1 2026: $501,000Q2 2026: −$393,000Q3 2026: −$1,000
Q4 2023: −$69,000Q1 2024: $160,000Q2 2024: $203,000Q3 2024: $528,000Q4 2024: −$17,000Q1 2025: $340,000Q2 2025: −$190,000Q3 2025: $275,000Q4 2025: −$355,000Q1 2026: $501,000Q2 2026: −$393,000Q3 2026: −$1,000
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1K-100%
Q2 2026-$393K-$203K
Q1 2026$501K+47%
Q4 2025-$355K-$338K
Q3 2025$275K-48%
Q2 2025-$190K-194%
Q1 2025$340K+113%
Q4 2024-$17K+$52K

LGL has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has the edge over LGL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LGL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 5MQ1 2024: 6MQ2 2024: 5MQ3 2024: 6MQ4 2024: 6MQ1 2025: 5MQ2 2025: 5MQ3 2025: 6MQ4 2025: 6MQ1 2026: 6MQ2 2026: 6MQ3 2026: 11M
Q4 2023: 5MQ1 2024: 6MQ2 2024: 5MQ3 2024: 6MQ4 2024: 6MQ1 2025: 5MQ2 2025: 5MQ3 2025: 6MQ4 2025: 6MQ1 2026: 6MQ2 2026: 6MQ3 2026: 11M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+71%+4.5M shares
1 year+94%+5.3M shares
3 years+105%+5.6M shares
5 years+106%+5.6M shares
Available history+120%+6M shares

LGL has 11M diluted shares, up 94% from a year ago.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LGL Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2023-152.5xNet Cash
Q4 2022-25.9xNet Cash
Q3 2022-39.0xNet Cash
Q1 2022-204.5xNet Cash
Q3 2021-68.3xNet Cash
Q2 2021-9.0xNet Cash
Q1 2021-15.1xNet Cash
Q4 2020-9.3xNet Cash

LGL has more cash than debt.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

LGL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.0Neutral
Stochastic23.2Neutral

LGL's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LGL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricLGLSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

LGL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

LGL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.822.5% above
20 week MA$6.990% above
50 week MA$6.881.6% above
100 week MA$6.763.4% above
200 week MA$6.0216% above

LGL has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over LGL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LGL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.84$3.76-36%
2021$3.76$4.34+15%
2022$4.34$4.08-6%
2023$4.08$6.14+50%
2024$6.14$5.76-6.2%
2025$5.76$5.77+0.2%
2026 YTD$5.77$6.99+21%

LGL has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 21% so far in 2026.

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