AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI has the edge over LFUS overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

LFUS

Littelfuse, Inc.

53
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation7/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

LFUS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LFUS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Strong
Strong

LFUS's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

LFUS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x168x252x335x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x168x252x335x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$397—
Cheap19x$23.29-94%
Fair29x$36.08-91%
Expensive56x$69.13-83%
Current322x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LFUS's PE is in its expensive range at 322x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LFUS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for LFUS, with profitability improving.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LFUS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LFUS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$507.86
Downside-19%$319.62

Calculated from the latest close: $396.61 on Nov 12.

LFUS trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

LFUS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $10.34Q1 2024: $8.73Q2 2024: $7.76Q3 2024: $7.78Q4 2024: $4.00Q1 2025: $3.82Q2 2025: $4.30Q3 2025: $4.75Q4 2025: $-2.89Q1 2026: $-1.68Q2 2026: $-0.49Q3 2026: $1.23Forward: $21.86
Q4 2023: $10.34Q1 2024: $8.73Q2 2024: $7.76Q3 2024: $7.78Q4 2024: $4.00Q1 2025: $3.82Q2 2025: $4.30Q3 2025: $4.75Q4 2025: $-2.89Q1 2026: $-1.68Q2 2026: $-0.49Q3 2026: $1.23Forward: $21.86
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$21.86+1678%
Q3 2026$1.23-74%
Q2 2026-$0.49-111%
Q1 2026-$1.68-144%
Q4 2025-$2.89-172%
Q3 2025$4.75-39%
Q2 2025$4.30-45%
Q1 2025$3.82-56%
Q4 2024$4.00-61%

LFUS has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over LFUS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LFUS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $534MQ1 2024: $535MQ2 2024: $558MQ3 2024: $567MQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $554MQ2 2025: $613MQ3 2025: $625MQ4 2025: $594MQ1 2026: $657MQ2 2026: $739MQ3 2026: $767M
Q4 2023: $534MQ1 2024: $535MQ2 2024: $558MQ3 2024: $567MQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $554MQ2 2025: $613MQ3 2025: $625MQ4 2025: $594MQ1 2026: $657MQ2 2026: $739MQ3 2026: $767M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$766.7M+23%
Q2 2026$738.8M+20%
Q1 2026$657M+19%
Q4 2025$593.9M+12%
Q3 2025$624.6M+10%
Q2 2025$613.4M+9.8%
Q1 2025$554.3M+3.5%
Q4 2024$529.5M-0.8%

LFUS's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $767M last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

LFUS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $121MQ1 2024: $42MQ2 2024: $50MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $135MQ1 2025: $43MQ2 2025: $73MQ3 2025: $131MQ4 2025: $120MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $127MQ3 2026: $216M
Q4 2023: $121MQ1 2024: $42MQ2 2024: $50MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $135MQ1 2025: $43MQ2 2025: $73MQ3 2025: $131MQ4 2025: $120MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $127MQ3 2026: $216M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$215.7M+64%
Q2 2026$127.3M+75%
Q1 2026$66.2M+55%
Q4 2025$119.7M-11%
Q3 2025$131.2M+102%
Q2 2025$72.6M+44%
Q1 2025$42.7M+2.5%
Q4 2024$134.8M+11%

LFUS has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

LFUS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 25MQ1 2024: 25MQ2 2024: 25MQ3 2024: 25MQ4 2024: 25MQ1 2025: 25MQ2 2025: 25MQ3 2025: 25MQ4 2025: 25MQ1 2026: 25MQ2 2026: 26MQ3 2026: 26M
Q4 2023: 25MQ1 2024: 25MQ2 2024: 25MQ3 2024: 25MQ4 2024: 25MQ1 2025: 25MQ2 2025: 25MQ3 2025: 25MQ4 2025: 25MQ1 2026: 25MQ2 2026: 26MQ3 2026: 26M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+54K shares
1 year+2.3%+572K shares
3 years+2.1%+531K shares
5 years+3%+748K shares
Available history+3.4%+856K shares

LFUS has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LFUS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 0.7xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.0xQ3 2026: -0.7x
Q4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 0.7xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.0xQ3 2026: -0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 20260.0xVery low
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.5xVery low

LFUS has more cash than debt.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

LFUS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.2Neutral
Stochastic29.6Neutral

LFUS's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 30 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LFUS PE vs Technology Sector

MetricLFUSSector medianRelative
PE322x28x1,057% above
PE %1003565 pts above

LFUS is trading at 322x earnings, a 1057% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

LFUS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$398.70.5% below
20 week MA$413.04% below
50 week MA$381.83.9% above
100 week MA$306.130% above
200 week MA$280.042% above

LFUS has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +891% in 2023 to −65% in 2022. It's up 42% so far in 2026.

LFUS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$192.0$251.7+31%
2021$251.7$304.3+21%
2022$304.3$218.6-28%
2023$218.6$267.6+22%
2024$267.6$237.0-11%
2025$237.0$262.1+11%
2026 YTD$262.1$396.6+51%

LFUS has the edge over AAOI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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