AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve, though they disagree widely on how much.

LEDS

SemiLEDs Corporation

There isn't enough reported data to score LEDS yet.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LEDS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
Strong
Unavailable

LEDS's cash flow is currently strong, but its revenue and profitability are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

LEDS PE Valuation

LEDS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LEDS Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for LEDS to show an outlook.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and LEDS's risk to reward.

LEDS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $2.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and LEDS's risk to reward.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98โ€”
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 112% for AAOI versus LEDS down 360%.

LEDS Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-0.55Q4 2023: $-0.56Q1 2024: $-0.56Q2 2024: $-0.45Q3 2024: $-0.32Q4 2024: $-0.28Q1 2025: $-0.12Q2 2025: $-0.05Q3 2025: $-0.15Q4 2025: $-0.16Q1 2026: $-0.28Q2 2026: $-0.13
Q3 2023: $-0.55Q4 2023: $-0.56Q1 2024: $-0.56Q2 2024: $-0.45Q3 2024: $-0.32Q4 2024: $-0.28Q1 2025: $-0.12Q2 2025: $-0.05Q3 2025: $-0.15Q4 2025: $-0.16Q1 2026: $-0.28Q2 2026: $-0.13
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.13-$0.08
Q1 2026-$0.28-$0.16
Q4 2025-$0.16+$0.12
Q3 2025-$0.15+$0.17
Q2 2025-$0.05+$0.40
Q1 2025-$0.12+$0.44
Q4 2024-$0.28+$0.28
Q3 2024-$0.32+$0.23

LEDS is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.13 per share over the past year, against $1.00 at its worst in mid-2019.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 127% for AAOI versus down 49% for LEDS.

LEDS Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $1MQ4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: $886,000Q2 2024: $1MQ3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $1MQ1 2025: $11MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $13MQ4 2025: $3MQ1 2026: $1MQ2 2026: $9M
Q3 2023: $1MQ4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: $886,000Q2 2024: $1MQ3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $1MQ1 2025: $11MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $13MQ4 2025: $3MQ1 2026: $1MQ2 2026: $9M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$9.1M-49%
Q1 2026$1.1M-90%
Q4 2025$2.6M+104%
Q3 2025$13.2M+899%
Q2 2025$17.7M+1234%
Q1 2025$10.9M+1127%
Q4 2024$1.3M-24%
Q3 2024$1.3M-8.9%

LEDS's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $9M last quarter, down 49% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: โˆ’$34MQ2 2024: โˆ’$5MQ3 2024: โˆ’$21MQ4 2024: โˆ’$53MQ1 2025: โˆ’$79MQ2 2025: โˆ’$91MQ3 2025: โˆ’$79MQ4 2025: โˆ’$105MQ1 2026: โˆ’$144MQ2 2026: โˆ’$265MQ3 2026: โˆ’$370M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: โˆ’$34MQ2 2024: โˆ’$5MQ3 2024: โˆ’$21MQ4 2024: โˆ’$53MQ1 2025: โˆ’$79MQ2 2025: โˆ’$91MQ3 2025: โˆ’$79MQ4 2025: โˆ’$105MQ1 2026: โˆ’$144MQ2 2026: โˆ’$265MQ3 2026: โˆ’$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

LEDS has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 612% versus its history, compared with AAOI at down 676%.

LEDS Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: โˆ’$327,000Q4 2023: โˆ’$129,000Q1 2024: โˆ’$619,000Q2 2024: $98,000Q3 2024: $162,000Q4 2024: โˆ’$276,000Q1 2025: $1MQ2 2025: $383,000Q3 2025: $251,000Q4 2025: $331,000Q1 2026: $1MQ2 2026: $2M
Q3 2023: โˆ’$327,000Q4 2023: โˆ’$129,000Q1 2024: โˆ’$619,000Q2 2024: $98,000Q3 2024: $162,000Q4 2024: โˆ’$276,000Q1 2025: $1MQ2 2025: $383,000Q3 2025: $251,000Q4 2025: $331,000Q1 2026: $1MQ2 2026: $2M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$2.1M+451%
Q1 2026$1.2M-7.5%
Q4 2025$331K+$607K
Q3 2025$251K+55%
Q2 2025$383K+291%
Q1 2025$1.3M+$1.9M
Q4 2024-$276K-$147K
Q3 2024$162K+$489K

LEDS generated $4M in free cash flow over the past year, up 150% from the year before.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

LEDS Total Shares

Q3 2023: 5MQ4 2023: 5MQ1 2024: 5MQ2 2024: 7MQ3 2024: 6MQ4 2024: 7MQ1 2025: 7MQ2 2025: 7MQ3 2025: 8MQ4 2025: 8MQ1 2026: 8MQ2 2026: 8M
Q3 2023: 5MQ4 2023: 5MQ1 2024: 5MQ2 2024: 7MQ3 2024: 6MQ4 2024: 7MQ1 2025: 7MQ2 2025: 7MQ3 2025: 8MQ4 2025: 8MQ1 2026: 8MQ2 2026: 8M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+9K shares
1 year+14%+1M shares
3 years+69%+3.4M shares
5 years+104%+4.2M shares
Available history+131%+4.7M shares

LEDS has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LEDS Net Leverage

LEDS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

LEDS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.5Neutral
Stochastic64.7Neutral

LEDS's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 65 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LEDS PE vs Technology Sector

LEDS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

LEDS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.175.1% above
20 week MA$2.146.5% above
50 week MA$1.8821% above
100 week MA$1.9915% above
200 week MA$1.8325% above

LEDS has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over LEDS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LEDS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.06$3.24+57%
2021$3.24$4.89+51%
2022$4.89$1.61-67%
2023$1.61$1.39-14%
2024$1.39$1.28-7.9%
2025$1.28$1.70+33%
2026 YTD$1.70$2.28+34%

LEDS is up 34% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in three of the previous six years.

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