AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

KVYO

Klaviyo, Inc.

72
Fundamentals82/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

KVYO has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

KVYO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Strong
Strong

KVYO's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

KVYO PE Valuation

LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward20x$21.34—
Cheap532x$15.97-25%
Fair609x$18.26-14%
Expensive683x$20.50-3.9%
Current711x$21.34—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

KVYO's PE is 711x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

KVYO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for KVYO, with profitability improving.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than KVYO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

KVYO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+68%$35.77
Downside-38%$13.14

Calculated from the latest close: $21.34 on Nov 12.

KVYO trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

KVYO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.29Q1 2024: $-1.36Q2 2024: $-1.42Q3 2024: $-0.19Q4 2024: $-0.17Q1 2025: $-0.17Q2 2025: $-0.24Q3 2025: $-0.23Q4 2025: $-0.11Q1 2026: $-0.03Q2 2026: $0.03Q3 2026: $0.03Forward: $1.05
Q4 2023: $-1.29Q1 2024: $-1.36Q2 2024: $-1.42Q3 2024: $-0.19Q4 2024: $-0.17Q1 2025: $-0.17Q2 2025: $-0.24Q3 2025: $-0.23Q4 2025: $-0.11Q1 2026: $-0.03Q2 2026: $0.03Q3 2026: $0.03Forward: $1.05
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.05+3410%
Q3 2026$0.03+$0.26
Q2 2026$0.03+$0.27
Q1 2026-$0.03+$0.14
Q4 2025-$0.11+$0.06
Q3 2025-$0.23-$0.04
Q2 2025-$0.24+$1.18
Q1 2025-$0.17+$1.19
Q4 2024-$0.17+$1.12

KVYO has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over KVYO on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

KVYO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $202MQ1 2024: $210MQ2 2024: $222MQ3 2024: $235MQ4 2024: $270MQ1 2025: $280MQ2 2025: $293MQ3 2025: $311MQ4 2025: $350MQ1 2026: $358MQ2 2026: $371MQ3 2026: $387M
Q4 2023: $202MQ1 2024: $210MQ2 2024: $222MQ3 2024: $235MQ4 2024: $270MQ1 2025: $280MQ2 2025: $293MQ3 2025: $311MQ4 2025: $350MQ1 2026: $358MQ2 2026: $371MQ3 2026: $387M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$387.2M+25%
Q2 2026$370.6M+26%
Q1 2026$358M+28%
Q4 2025$350.2M+30%
Q3 2025$310.9M+32%
Q2 2025$293.1M+32%
Q1 2025$279.8M+33%
Q4 2024$270.2M+34%

KVYO's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2023: $387M last quarter, up 25% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

KVYO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: $40MQ3 2024: $37MQ4 2024: $58MQ1 2025: $12MQ2 2025: $54MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $91MQ1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: $87MQ3 2026: $45M
Q4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: $40MQ3 2024: $37MQ4 2024: $58MQ1 2025: $12MQ2 2025: $54MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $91MQ1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: $87MQ3 2026: $45M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$44.7M-15%
Q2 2026$87.3M+63%
Q1 2026$22.6M+94%
Q4 2025$90.7M+57%
Q3 2025$52.5M+41%
Q2 2025$53.7M+34%
Q1 2025$11.7M-53%
Q4 2024$57.7M+61%

KVYO has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

KVYO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 243MQ1 2024: 261MQ2 2024: 265MQ3 2024: 268MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 274MQ2 2025: 285MQ3 2025: 301MQ4 2025: 291MQ1 2026: 306MQ2 2026: 297MQ3 2026: 286M
Q4 2023: 243MQ1 2024: 261MQ2 2024: 265MQ3 2024: 268MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 274MQ2 2025: 285MQ3 2025: 301MQ4 2025: 291MQ1 2026: 306MQ2 2026: 297MQ3 2026: 286M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-3.5%-10.4M shares
1 year-4.8%-14.4M shares
3 years+19%+46.3M shares

KVYO has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

KVYO Net Leverage

Q3 2026: -57.7x
Q3 2026: -57.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-57.7xNet Cash
Q2 2023-66.2xNet Cash

KVYO has more cash than debt.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

KVYO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

KVYO's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

KVYO PE vs Technology Sector

MetricKVYOSector medianRelative
PE711x28x2,453% above

KVYO is trading at 711x earnings, a 2453% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

KVYO has stronger trend alignment. AAOI is above 1 of 5 weekly averages versus KVYO above 3 of 4.

KVYO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$18.714% above
20 week MA$18.019% above
50 week MA$19.59.3% above
100 week MA$26.520% below

KVYO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 20% below its 100-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over KVYO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

KVYO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2023$33.4$27.8-17%
2024$27.8$42.8+54%
2025$42.8$32.6-24%
2026 YTD$32.6$21.3-35%

KVYO has finished lower in two of the last three years. It's down 35% so far in 2026.

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