AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI has a slight edge over KVHI overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

KVHI

KVH Industries, Inc.

58
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential36/ 100

KVHI has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

KVHI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Weak
Strong

KVHI's revenue and balance sheet are currently strong, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is weak.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

KVHI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE64x128x192x255x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE64x128x192x255x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap4.2x$0.13-98%
Fair5.6x$0.17-98%
Expensive9.3x$0.28-96%
Forward13x$7.37—
Current246x$7.37—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

KVHI's PE is in its expensive range at 246x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

KVHI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for KVHI, with profitability improving.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than KVHI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

KVHI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$11.17
Downside-36%$4.72

Calculated from the latest close: $7.37 on Nov 12.

KVHI trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

KVHI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.81Q1 2024: $-0.97Q2 2024: $-1.14Q3 2024: $-0.98Q4 2024: $-0.57Q1 2025: $-0.50Q2 2025: $-0.33Q3 2025: $-0.63Q4 2025: $-0.38Q1 2026: $-0.26Q2 2026: $-0.30Q3 2026: $0.03Forward: $0.58
Q4 2023: $-0.81Q1 2024: $-0.97Q2 2024: $-1.14Q3 2024: $-0.98Q4 2024: $-0.57Q1 2025: $-0.50Q2 2025: $-0.33Q3 2025: $-0.63Q4 2025: $-0.38Q1 2026: $-0.26Q2 2026: $-0.30Q3 2026: $0.03Forward: $0.58
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.58+1833%
Q3 2026$0.03+$0.66
Q2 2026-$0.30+$0.03
Q1 2026-$0.26+$0.24
Q4 2025-$0.38+$0.19
Q3 2025-$0.63+$0.35
Q2 2025-$0.33+$0.81
Q1 2025-$0.50+$0.47
Q4 2024-$0.57+$0.24

KVHI has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over KVHI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

KVHI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $31MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $29MQ3 2024: $29MQ4 2024: $27MQ1 2025: $25MQ2 2025: $27MQ3 2025: $28MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: $32MQ2 2026: $34MQ3 2026: $38M
Q4 2023: $31MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $29MQ3 2024: $29MQ4 2024: $27MQ1 2025: $25MQ2 2025: $27MQ3 2025: $28MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: $32MQ2 2026: $34MQ3 2026: $38M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$38.4M+35%
Q2 2026$33.7M+27%
Q1 2026$32.3M+27%
Q4 2025$30.5M+13%
Q3 2025$28.5M-1.8%
Q2 2025$26.6M-7.1%
Q1 2025$25.4M-13%
Q4 2024$26.9M-14%

KVHI's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $38M last quarter, up 35% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

KVHI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: −$3MQ2 2024: −$17MQ3 2024: $419,000Q4 2024: −$444,000Q1 2025: −$2MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: $672,000Q3 2026: $3M
Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: −$3MQ2 2024: −$17MQ3 2024: $419,000Q4 2024: −$444,000Q1 2025: −$2MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: $672,000Q3 2026: $3M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.3M-60%
Q2 2026$672K-76%
Q1 2026-$10.8M-$8.4M
Q4 2025-$1.6M-$1.2M
Q3 2025$8.4M+1900%
Q2 2025$2.7M+$20.1M
Q1 2025-$2.4M+$765K
Q4 2024-$444K-125%

KVHI has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

KVHI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 19MQ1 2024: 19MQ2 2024: 19MQ3 2024: 19MQ4 2024: 19MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 19MQ3 2025: 19MQ4 2025: 19MQ1 2026: 19MQ2 2026: 20MQ3 2026: 18M
Q4 2023: 19MQ1 2024: 19MQ2 2024: 19MQ3 2024: 19MQ4 2024: 19MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 19MQ3 2025: 19MQ4 2025: 19MQ1 2026: 19MQ2 2026: 20MQ3 2026: 18M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-7.2%-1.4M shares
1 year-5.7%-1.1M shares
3 years-5.1%-980K shares
5 years-1.7%-315K shares
Available history+4.5%+792K shares

KVHI has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

KVHI Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -35.7xQ1 2025: -18.6xQ2 2025: -14.0xQ1 2026: -49.0xQ2 2026: -47.7xQ3 2026: -7.1x
Q4 2024: -35.7xQ1 2025: -18.6xQ2 2025: -14.0xQ1 2026: -49.0xQ2 2026: -47.7xQ3 2026: -7.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-7.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-47.7xNet Cash
Q1 2026-49.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-14.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-18.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-35.7xNet Cash
Q3 2023-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2023-1.1xNet Cash

KVHI has more cash than debt.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

KVHI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.5Neutral
Stochastic40.9Neutral

KVHI's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

KVHI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricKVHISector medianRelative
PE246x28x782% above
PE %1003565 pts above

KVHI is trading at 246x earnings, a 782% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

KVHI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.877.3% above
20 week MA$7.684% below
50 week MA$7.896.6% below
100 week MA$6.7010% above
200 week MA$6.5413% above

KVHI has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over KVHI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

KVHI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.2$10.4-6.7%
2021$10.4$8.99-14%
2022$8.99$9.40+4.6%
2023$9.40$5.26-44%
2024$5.26$5.55+5.5%
2025$5.55$6.79+22%
2026 YTD$6.79$7.37+8.5%

KVHI has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 8.5% so far in 2026.

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